Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 27

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Molinón (Gijón)

Referee: Arcediano D. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Peru	DirecTV Sports
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter


	Sporting de Gijón		Valladolid

	1	X	2
	2.01	3.25	3.6	Watch
	2	3.15	3.7	Watch
	1.94	3.47	4.16
	2.05	3.29	3.84	Watch
	2.05	3.1	3.6
	2.12	3.27	3.79	Watch
	1.8	3.6	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.9)	3.3 ↓ (3.52)	3.86 ↓ (4.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting de Gijón
47.1%

Draw
28.5%

Valladolid
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

26.9%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5%

27%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting de Gijón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Valladolid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting de Gijón than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valladolid than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.4%	0%	5.6%

Sporting de Gijón - Valladolid Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Sporting de Gijón will win (17 of 18 users predict this - 94.44%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.85% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sporting de Gijón will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Yanez R. (G) 2. Rosas G. 23. Curbelo E. 15. Vazquez P. 12. Olivan B. 36. Rodriguez M. 24. Smith J. 17. Dubasin J. 14. Corredera A. 10. Gelabert Pina C. 19. Otero J.	13. Guilherme Fernandes (G) 14. Alejo I. 15. Tomeo P. 4. Torres D. 18. Clerc C. 21. Ponceau J. 24. Juric S. 22. Peter Federico 20. Chuki 7. Canos S. 9. Latasa J.
Substitutes
8. Bernal J. 7. Campos G. 18. Coundoul A. 9. Ferrari A. 3. Garcia P. 13. Joel C. (G) 39. Ordonez M. (G) 4. Perrin L. 11. Queipo D. 5. Sanchez D. 20. Vazquez K.	1. Aceves A. (G) 12. Alani I. 17. Biuk S. 25. Erlien V. 27. Garriel I. 23. Jaouab M. 6. Lachuer M. 10. Marcos Andre 16. Maroto M. 5. Martinez R. 8. Meseguer Cavas V. A. 19. Sanseviero L.
Coaches
Jimenez B.	Escriba F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
7', 1 - 0, Otero J. ⚽,
45', 1 - 1, Juric S. ⚽, Alejo I. (A),
45+4', 1 - 2, Canos S. ⚽, Clerc C. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Smith J. ↓, Campos G. ↑,
65', Olivan B. 🟨,
67', Olivan B. ↓, Garcia P. ↑,
70', Ponceau J. ↓, Meseguer Cavas V. A. ↑,
72', Rodriguez M. ↓, Queipo D. ↑,
76', Canos S. ↓, Biuk S. ↑,
80', 2 - 2, Vazquez P. ⚽, Otero J. (A),
81', Otero J. ↓, Ferrari A. ↑,
83', Queipo D. 🟨,
85', Clerc C. ↓, Garriel I. ↑,
85', Chuki ↓, Lachuer M. ↑,
85', Latasa J. ↓, Marcos Andre ↑,
86', Torres D. 🟨,
89', Tomeo P. 🟨,
89', Gelabert Pina C. 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting de Gijón won 1.

Sporting de Gijón is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Valladolid has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Valladolid may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sporting de Gijón is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Sporting de Gijón: Cuenca A. (Injury) Curbelo E. (Injury) Loum M. (Injury)

There will not play in Valladolid: Bueno G. (Injury) Lachuer M. (Injury) Michelin C. (Red Card) Ndiaye A. (Leg Injury) Ohio N. (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Sporting de Gijón won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 12:24. (average 0.8:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Sporting de Gijón won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 0.9:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Gijon	8	4	1	3	8:8	0	13
16	Valladolid	8	2	3	3	8:11	-3	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting de Gijón
Spanish LaLiga2
15.02.26	Albacete Balompié - Sporting de Gijón	1:1 ✺
08.02.26	Sporting de Gijón - Huesca	2:1 ✺
01.02.26	Eibar - Sporting de Gijón	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Sporting de Gijón - Mirandés	3:0 ✺
17.01.26	Leonesa - Sporting de Gijón	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TWLWW
- Real Valladolid
Spanish LaLiga2
14.02.26	Granada - Valladolid	5:1 ✺
08.02.26	Valladolid - Castellón	0:4 ✺
31.01.26	Córdoba - Valladolid	3:1 ✺
24.01.26	Valladolid - Albacete Balompié	0:1 ✺
17.01.26	Ceuta - Valladolid	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
19.10.25	Valladolid - Sporting de Gijón	2:3
17.02.24	Sporting de Gijón - Valladolid	1:1
11.08.23	Valladolid - Sporting de Gijón	2:0
28.01.22	Valladolid - Sporting de Gijón	1:0
23.10.21	Sporting de Gijón - Valladolid	1:2
Club Friendly
08.08.19	Valladolid - Sporting de Gijón	2:0
Spanish LaLiga2
10.06.18	Sporting de Gijón - Valladolid	1:2

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