Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 34

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio El Molinón (Gijón)

Referee: Muniz C. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Dsports 9
Ecuador	DSports 9
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Peru	DSports 9
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2


	Sporting de Gijón		Tenerife

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.2	4.1	Watch
	1.98	3	3.9
	1.98	3.2	3.95
	2	3.27	4.11	Watch
	1.97	3.23	4.14	Watch
	1.98	3.2	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.85)	3.18 ↓ (3.31)	4.03 ↓ (4.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting de Gijón
47.3%

Draw
29.4%

Tenerife
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51%

28.4%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.2%

31.3%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting de Gijón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Tenerife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting de Gijón than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sporting de Gijón, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tenerife than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
95.7%	4.3%	0%

Sporting de Gijón - Tenerife Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Sporting de Gijón will win (21 of 22 users predict this - 95.45%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.74% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sporting de Gijón will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Yanez R. (G) 2. Rosas G. 4. Pier R. 22. Sanchez D. 5. Garcia P. 6. Martin N. 14. Olaetxea L. 10. Mendez N. 17. Dubasin J. 19. Otero J. 21. Serrano N.	25. Badia E. (G) 29. Alvarez C. 5. Gonzalez S. 22. Mellot J. 2. Rodriguez D. 11. Cruz Luismi 16. Sanz A. (C) 15. Bodiger Y. 17. Rubio W. 8. Diarra Y. 20. Mesa M.
Substitutes
11. Campuzano V. 3. Cote 18. Gelabert Pina C. 13. Joel C. (G) 29. Kembo Y. 28. Mbemba P. 27. Oyon A. 9. Queipo D. 20. Vazquez K.	19. Cantero A. 1. Carrasco S. (G) 18. Enric 6. Gonzalez F. 23. Juande 33. Martin Luis A. 3. Medrano F. 10. Moreno M. 9. Rodriguez A. 21. Teto A.
Coaches
Albes R.	Cervera A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Gonzalez S. 🟨,
31', Garcia P. 🟨,
43', Rodriguez D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
50', 1 - 0, Otero J. (Pen),
60', Bodiger Y. ↓, Enric ↑,
60', Mesa M. ↓, Cantero A. ↑,
60', Diarra Y. ↓, Martin Luis A. ↑,
64', Mendez N. 🟨,
69', 1 - 1, Gonzalez S. ⚽, Rubio W. (A),
73', 1 - 2, Rubio W. ⚽, Cantero A. (A),
73', Pier R. ↓, Campuzano V. ↑,
73', Serrano N. ↓, Dotor C. ↑,
77', Cruz Luismi ↓, Gonzalez F. ↑,
78', Rubio W. ↓, Moreno M. ↑,
79', Martin N. ↓, Gelabert Pina C. ↑,
79', Garcia P. ↓, Cote ↑,
85', 1 - 3, Enric ⚽, Sanz A. (A),
86', Otero J. ↓, Caicedo J. ↑,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sporting de Gijón won 3.

Sporting de Gijón is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Tenerife is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Tenerife could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Sporting de Gijón is a favorite.

There will not play in Sporting de Gijón: Bernal J. (Injury) Campos G. (Muscle Injury) Curbelo E. (Injury) Queipo D. (Injury)

There will not play in Tenerife: Jose Amo (Knee Injury) Leon J. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Tenerife: Cruz Luismi (Injury)

Last 19 head-to-head matches Sporting de Gijón won 8 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 22:15 (average 1.2:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Sporting de Gijón won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15:7 (average 1.7:0.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Sporting de Gijón - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 51.01%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting de Gijón
Spanish LaLiga2
30.03.25	Huesca - Sporting de Gijón	3:2 ✺
23.03.25	Sporting de Gijón - Albacete Balompié	0:2 ✺
15.03.25	Córdoba - Sporting de Gijón	1:1 ✺
08.03.25	Sporting de Gijón - Racing Santander	1:1 ✺
01.03.25	Zaragoza - Sporting de Gijón	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLTTT
- CD Tenerife
Spanish LaLiga2
28.03.25	Tenerife - Granada	2:1 ✺
23.03.25	Tenerife - Cádiz	2:1 ✺
16.03.25	Racing Santander - Tenerife	2:1 ✺
09.03.25	Tenerife - Huesca	2:0 ✺
03.03.25	Mirandés - Tenerife	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
22.09.24	Tenerife - Sporting de Gijón	1:1
20.01.24	Tenerife - Sporting de Gijón	1:2
17.09.23	Sporting de Gijón - Tenerife	2:1
25.02.23	Sporting de Gijón - Tenerife	1:0
30.09.22	Tenerife - Sporting de Gijón	1:1
13.03.22	Sporting de Gijón - Tenerife	1:2
21.08.21	Tenerife - Sporting de Gijón	0:0

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