Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 31

Date: 16 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Sardinero (Santander)

Referee: Fuentes A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, TOD
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Peru	Disney+
Spain	DAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion
United-kingdom	beIN Sports MENA English 2
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Disney+


	Racing Santander		Tenerife

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.6	5.75	Watch
	1.75	3.4	4.4
	1.62	3.75	5.4	Watch
	1.81	3.61	4.68
	1.62	3.88	5.71	Watch
	1.63	3.84	5.6	Watch
	1.62	3.75	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.78)	3.69 ↑ (3.56)	5.28 ↑ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Racing Santander
56.6%

Draw
25.5%

Tenerife
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.9%

26.5%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9%

29.5%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Racing Santander has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Tenerife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Santander than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tenerife than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	0%	10%

Racing Santander - Tenerife Predictions

Users Predictions: Racing Santander will win (18 of 20 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.85% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Ezkieta J. (G) 17. Michelin C. 18. Manu 5. Castro J. 40. Garcia M. 8. Aldasoro A. 21. Vencedor U. 11. Martin A. 22. Rodriguez P. 10. Vicente I. 9. Arana J.	25. Badia E. (G) 29. Alvarez C. 12. Landazuri A. 5. Gonzalez S. 22. Mellot J. 33. Martin Luis A. 16. Sanz A. 17. Rubio W. 15. Bodiger Y. 8. Diarra Y. 19. Cantero A.
Substitutes
3. Garcia S. 16. Gonzalez R. 12. Gueye M. 29. Jeremy Arevalo 7. Junior L. 19. Karrikaburu J. 2. Mantilla A. 23. Meseguer Cavas V. A. 4. Moreno P. 1. Parera P. M. (G) 15. Sangalli M. 14. Zenitagoia E.	1. Carrasco S. (G) 11. Cruz Luismi 18. Enric 6. Gonzalez F. 23. Juande 3. Medrano F. 20. Mesa M. 7. Padilla J. 9. Rodriguez A. 2. Rodriguez D. 21. Teto A.
Coaches
Lopez J.	Cervera A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Alvarez C. 🟨,
28', Rodriguez P. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Rodriguez P. ↓, Karrikaburu J. ↑,
58', 0 - 1, Landazuri A. ⚽, Martin Luis A. (A),
63', Vencedor U. ↓, Meseguer Cavas V. A. ↑,
63', Aldasoro A. ↓, Gueye M. ↑,
69', Cantero A. ↓, Padilla J. ↑,
71', Alvarez C. 🟨,
73', Rubio W. ↓, Rodriguez D. ↑,
75', Michelin C. ↓, Sangalli M. ↑,
79', 1 - 1, Karrikaburu J. ⚽, Martin A. (A),
83', Arana J. ↓, Gonzalez R. ↑,
84', 2 - 1, Martin A. ⚽, Meseguer Cavas V. A. (A),
87', Manu 🟨,
90', Sanz A. 🟨,
90+1', Bodiger Y. 🟨,
90+5', Diarra Y. ↓, Mesa M. ↑,
90+7', Garcia M. 🟨,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Racing won 2.

Recent matches Racing is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tenerife is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tenerife could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Racing is a favorite.

There will not play in Racing: Sainz-Maza I. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Tenerife: Jose Amo (Knee Injury) Leon J. (Thigh Injury)

Last 9 head-to-head matches Racing won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11:12 (average 1.2:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Racing won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:5 (average 1.8:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Santander
Spanish LaLiga2
08.03.25	Sporting de Gijón - Racing Santander	1:1 ✺
02.03.25	Racing Santander - Elche	2:0 ✺
22.02.25	Eibar - Racing Santander	2:2 ✺
15.02.25	Racing Santander - Cádiz	2:3 ✺
09.02.25	Burgos - Racing Santander	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TWTLL
- CD Tenerife
Spanish LaLiga2
09.03.25	Tenerife - Huesca	2:0 ✺
03.03.25	Mirandés - Tenerife	2:0 ✺
21.02.25	Málaga - Tenerife	1:0 ✺
15.02.25	Tenerife - Córdoba	2:3 ✺
09.02.25	Elche - Tenerife	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
06.09.24	Tenerife - Racing Santander	0:1
10.03.24	Racing Santander - Tenerife	4:2
03.10.23	Tenerife - Racing Santander	2:0
27.01.23	Racing Santander - Tenerife	1:1
03.09.22	Tenerife - Racing Santander	1:0
21.06.20	Racing Santander - Tenerife	1:2
20.10.19	Tenerife - Racing Santander	3:3

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