Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 29

Date: 3 March 2025, Monday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Anduva (Miranda de Ebro)

Referee: Perez M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	New World Sport 4, Sporty TV
Argentina	Disney+
Austria	DAZN
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports Start
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	Sky Sport
Montenegro	Arena Sport 4
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Peru	Disney+
Portugal	DAZN 2
Serbia	Arena Sport 4
Slovakia	Voyo
Spain	DAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
United-kingdom	Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Disney+


	Mirandés		Tenerife

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.1	2.5	Watch
	2.36	2.9	2.5	Watch
	1.88	3.18	5.28
	1.85	3.16	5.13	Watch
	1.85	3.22	4.97	Watch
	2.36	2.9	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (1.84)	3.08 ↓ (3.16)	3.81 ↓ (4.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mirandés
44.7%

Draw
30.6%

Tenerife
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

29.5%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

28.8%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mirandés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mirandés's form might have worsened.

Tenerife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirandés than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mirandés, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tenerife than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tenerife, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
95.8%	1.4%	2.8%

Mirandés - Tenerife Predictions

Users Predictions: Mirandés will win (68 of 71 users predict this - 95.77%).
Confidence interval (95%): 91.09% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Fernandez R. (G) 2. Rincon H. 22. Gutierrez J. 5. Tachi 15. Tomeo P. 29. Benito I. 10. Reina A. 6. Gorrotxategi J. 19. Lachuer M. 17. Izeta 9. Panichelli J.	25. Badia E. (G) 29. Alvarez C. 5. Gonzalez S. 4. Leon J. 2. Rodriguez D. 11. Cruz Luismi 15. Bodiger Y. 16. Sanz A. 33. Martin Luis A. 18. Enric 8. Diarra Y.
Substitutes
3. Alonso J. 7. Butzke A. 11. Calvo A. 4. Egiluz U. 8. Garcia C. 31. Gorrin A. (G) 1. Lopez L. (G) 20. Martin A. 33. Parada V. 21. Postigo S. 27. Roca J.	19. Cantero A. 1. Carrasco S. (G) 6. Gonzalez F. 12. Landazuri A. 3. Medrano F. 20. Mesa M. 9. Rodriguez A. 17. Rubio W. 21. Teto A.
Coaches
Lisci A.	Cervera A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', Lisci A. 🟨,
25', Izeta (Pen),
25', 1 - 0, Izeta ⚽,
30', Gutierrez J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Rodriguez D. ↓, Medrano F. ↑,
46', Enric ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
59', Bodiger Y. ↓, Teto A. ↑,
60', Cruz Luismi ↓, Rubio W. ↑,
64', Sanz A. 🟨,
65', Izeta ↓, Roca J. ↑,
68', 2 - 0, Reina A. ⚽, Rincon H. (A),
70', Sanz A. ↓, Mesa M. ↑,
73', Benito I. ↓, Alonso J. ↑,
73', Gutierrez J. ↓, Egiluz U. ↑,
76', Gonzalez S. 🟨,
84', Teto A. 🟨,
84', Reina A. ↓, Martin A. ↑,
84', Lachuer M. ↓, Garcia C. ↑,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mirandés won 1.

Recent matches Mirandés is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tenerife is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Mirandés is a favorite.

There will not play in Mirandés: Dadie Izagirre A. (Red Card)

There will not play in Tenerife: Gonzalez S. (Injury) Jose Amo (Knee Injury) Mellot J. (Yellow Cards) Sanz A. (Muscle Injury)

Last 19 head-to-head matches Mirandés won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 18:25 (average 0.9:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Mirandés won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11:7 (average 1.2:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Mirandés
Spanish LaLiga2
23.02.25	Levante - Mirandés	1:0 ✺
14.02.25	Mirandés - Ferrol	4:1 ✺
08.02.25	Granada - Mirandés	0:0 ✺
01.02.25	Mirandés - Elche	3:0 ✺
27.01.25	Cádiz - Mirandés	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWTWL
- CD Tenerife
Spanish LaLiga2
21.02.25	Málaga - Tenerife	1:0 ✺
15.02.25	Tenerife - Córdoba	2:3 ✺
09.02.25	Elche - Tenerife	2:0 ✺
02.02.25	Tenerife - Albacete Balompié	3:1 ✺
29.01.25	Tenerife - Deportivo A Coruña	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
03.11.24	Tenerife - Mirandés	1:0
03.03.24	Tenerife - Mirandés	2:1
14.10.23	Mirandés - Tenerife	1:1
18.02.23	Tenerife - Mirandés	1:0
02.11.22	Mirandés - Tenerife	1:0
26.02.22	Mirandés - Tenerife	2:1
19.09.21	Tenerife - Mirandés	1:2

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