Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 10

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio de Gran Canaria (Las Palmas)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Peru	Disney+
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Las Palmas		Eibar

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.85	3.7	Watch
	2.1	2.98	3.7	Watch
	2.29	3.07	3.81
	2.32	2.80	3.62	Watch
	2.1	3.13	3.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (1.95)	2.97 ↓ (3.04)	3.7 ↓ (4.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Las Palmas
42.9%

Draw
31.7%

Eibar
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.4%

31%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

31.1%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Las Palmas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Las Palmas's form might have worsened.

Eibar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Palmas than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Las Palmas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eibar than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55%	30%	15%

Las Palmas - Eibar Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Las Palmas will win (votes: 11 - 55%). Eibar will win (votes: 3 - 15%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Las Palmas: 33.2% – 76.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Las Palmas (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Horkas D. (G) 2. Marvin 4. Alex Suarez (C) 6. Sergio Barcia 5. Clemente E. 22. Garcia A. 12. Loiodice E. 16. Amatucci L. 17. Viti 25. Lukovic M. 8. Gil I.	13. Magunagoitia J. (G) 4. Arambarri A. 21. Moreno M. 23. Arbilla A. (C) 24. Buta L. 8. Nolaskoain P. 14. Olaetxea L. 17. Corpas J. 11. Magunazelaia Argoitia J. 10. Guruzeta J. 9. Bautista J.
Substitutes
29. Arvelo A. 11. Cardona M. 13. Caro J. (G) 14. Fuster M. 26. Gonzalez I. 23. Gutierrez C. 15. Herzog J. 7. Mata J. 24. Pejino 27. Pezzolesi V. 20. Rodriguez K. 35. Suarez A. (G)	7. Alkain X. 18. Ares A. 3. Arrillaga H. 30. Garrido A. 15. Jair 20. Javier Marton 34. Llorente O. 1. Lopez L. (G) 5. Martinez J. 19. Villa T. 16. Yarza Campos A.
Coaches
Garcia L.	San Jose B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, Garcia A. ⚽, Amatucci L. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
60', Arbilla A. 🟨,
62', Gil I. ↓, Fuster M. ↑,
66', 2 - 0, Lukovic M. ⚽, Marvin (A),
71', Guruzeta J. ↓, Ares A. ↑,
71', Magunazelaia Argoitia J. ↓, Javier Marton ↑,
71', Nolaskoain P. ↓, Garrido A. ↑,
76', Corpas J. ↓, Alkain X. ↑,
79', Garcia A. ↓, Rodriguez K. ↑,
79', Lukovic M. ↓, Cardona M. ↑,
79', Arbilla A. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
83', 2 - 1, Javier Marton ⚽, Alkain X. (A),
86', Marvin 🟨,
89', Loiodice E. ↓, Gonzalez I. ↑,
89', Marvin ↓, Herzog J. ↑,
90+1', Alex Suarez 🟨,
90+2', 3 - 1, Clemente E. ⚽, Rodriguez K. (A),

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Las Palmas won 1.

Las Palmas is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Eibar has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Eibar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Las Palmas might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Las Palmas: Jese (Muscle Injury) Marmol M. (Muscle Injury) Ramirez S. (Knee Injury) Viera J. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Eibar: Madariaga A. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Las Palmas: Recoba J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Eibar: Cubero S. (Injury)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Las Palmas won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:18. (average 1.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Las Palmas won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Las Palmas
Spanish LaLiga2
10.10.25	Granada - Las Palmas	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Las Palmas - Cádiz	1:0 ✺
27.09.25	Las Palmas - Almería	0:1 ✺
20.09.25	Leganés - Las Palmas	0:1 ✺
12.09.25	Las Palmas - Real Sociedad B	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TWLWW
- SD Eibar
Spanish LaLiga2
12.10.25	Eibar - Castellón	0:0 ✺
03.10.25	Ceuta - Eibar	1:0 ✺
27.09.25	Eibar - Deportivo A Coruña	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	Eibar - Real Sociedad B	2:1 ✺
13.09.25	Cádiz - Eibar	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
08.05.23	Eibar - Las Palmas	0:1
06.11.22	Las Palmas - Eibar	1:1
15.04.22	Eibar - Las Palmas	2:2
18.12.21	Las Palmas - Eibar	0:1
Spanish LaLiga
12.05.18	Eibar - Las Palmas	1:0
06.01.18	Las Palmas - Eibar	1:2
06.04.17	Eibar - Las Palmas	3:1

Upcoming Matches