Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 37

Date: 28 April 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Molinón (Gijón)

Referee: Galech I. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV


	Sporting de Gijón		Villarreal B

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.6	6.5	Watch
	1.68	3.4	4.75
	1.7	3.5	5	Watch
	1.7	3.75	5.79
	1.69	3.66	5.79
	1.8	3.6	4.2
	1.72	3.68	5.05	Watch
	1.66	3.5	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.82)	3.59 ↓ (3.65)	5.34 ↑ (4.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting de Gijón
55.8%

Draw
26.4%

Villarreal B
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.1%

25.9%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

25.8%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting de Gijón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Villarreal B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting de Gijón than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarreal B than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.7%	6.7%	6.7%

Sporting de Gijón - Villarreal B Predictions

Users Predictions: Sporting de Gijón will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Yanez R. (G) 4. Insua P. 24. Izquierdoz C. 16. Sanchez D. 2. Rosas G. 10. Mendez N. 15. Mesa R. 5. Garcia P. 7. Campos G. 23. Djurdjevic U. 20. Gonzalez M.	1. Alvarez I. (G) 2. Altimira A. 29. Espigares A. 19. Iniguez P. 6. del Moral A. 17. Novoa Ramos H. 33. Navarro P. 8. Garcia C. 18. Romero C. 10. Ontiveros J. 9. Fores A.
Substitutes
37. Acerete C. 14. Bamba A. 3. Cote 13. Joel C. (G) 30. Lozano A. 38. Mbemba P. 25. Pascanu A. 9. Queipo D. 12. Varane J. 8. Villalba F. 18. Zarfino G.	7. Collado D. 24. Ferrari A. 14. Gelardo A. 22. Geralnik T. 16. Lanchi 13. Morro M. A. (G) 27. Requena D. 21. Rodri 15. Sanchez M.
Coaches
Ramirez M.	Alvarez M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
17', 0 - 1, Fores A. ⚽, Novoa Ramos H. (A),
26', 0 - 2, Ontiveros J. ⚽, Novoa Ramos H. (A),
34', Pascanu A. 🟨,
44', Ontiveros J. 🟨,
45', Insua P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Pascanu A. ↓, Rosas G. ↑,
56', Insua P. ↓, Sanchez D. ↑,
56', Queipo D. ↓, Villalba F. ↑,
59', Gonzalez M. 🟨,
60', Mendez N. ↓, Varane J. ↑,
61', Mesa R. 🟨,
62', Novoa Ramos H. ↓, Requena D. ↑,
72', Mesa R. ↓, Lozano A. ↑,
72', Alvarez I. 🟨,
77', 0 - 3, Fores A. ⚽,
79', Fores A. ↓, Pascual J. ↑,
79', Navarro P. ↓, Gelardo A. ↑,
86', Ontiveros J. ↓, Geralnik T. ↑,
86', Rodri ↓, Collado D. ↑,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 7 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Villarreal B could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Sporting de Gijón is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Sporting de Gijón won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Sporting de Gijón won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting de Gijón
Spanish LaLiga2
20.04.24	Elche - Sporting de Gijón	2:1 ✺
13.04.24	Sporting de Gijón - Cartagena	1:0 ✺
07.04.24	Mirandés - Sporting de Gijón	1:3 ✺
30.03.24	Sporting de Gijón - Racing Santander	2:3 ✺
24.03.24	Amorebieta - Sporting de Gijón	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWWLL
- Villarreal B
Spanish LaLiga2
20.04.24	Villarreal B - Ferrol	1:0 ✺
15.04.24	Alcorcón - Villarreal B	1:0 ✺
07.04.24	Villarreal B - Burgos	2:1 ✺
31.03.24	Real Oviedo - Villarreal B	2:1 ✺
23.03.24	Villarreal B - Leganés	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
04.11.23	Villarreal B - Sporting de Gijón	0:3
07.05.23	Villarreal B - Sporting de Gijón	2:0
07.10.22	Sporting de Gijón - Villarreal B	3:1

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