Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 36

Date: 20 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio de la Ceramica (Villarreal)

Referee: Alvendiz L. (Esp)


	Villarreal B		Ferrol

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.1	2.8	Watch
	2.55	3	2.7
	2.55	3.1	2.8	Watch
	2.71	3.2	2.91
	2.71	3.12	2.91
	2.6	3.24	2.77	Watch
	2.55	3.1	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↑ (2.46)	3.12 ↓ (3.19)	2.81 ↓ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villarreal B
36.2%

Draw
30.2%

Ferrol
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

29.3%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

30.4%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villarreal B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Ferrol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarreal B than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	37.5%	12.5%

Villarreal B - Ferrol Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Villarreal B will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Ferrol will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Villarreal B: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alvarez I. (G) 2. Altimira A. 12. Lekovic S. 19. Iniguez P. (C) 3. Tasende D. 33. Navarro P. 8. Garcia C. 17. Novoa Ramos H. 18. Romero C. 10. Ontiveros J. 9. Fores A.	25. Cantero A. (G) 24. Cubero S. 4. Garcia H. J. 15. Castro D. 21. Moi 6. Bernal J. 16. Manzanara F. 23. Serrano N. 22. Losada I. 7. Pena H. (C) 20. Gimenez A.
Substitutes
7. Collado D. 29. Espigares A. 24. Ferrari A. 14. Gelardo A. 22. Geralnik T. 16. Lanchi 13. Morro M. A. (G) 11. Pascual J. 5. Rando A. 27. Requena D. 21. Rodri 15. Sanchez M.	12. Alex Martin 17. Chuca 5. Clemente E. 2. Delmas J. 13. Emilio (G) 1. Gazzaniga G. (G) 9. Justo M. 8. Lopez A. 18. Martinez B. 11. Nacho 19. Sabin
Coaches
Alvarez M.	Parralo C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', Tasende D. 🟨,
56', Garcia H. J. 🟨,
59', Pena H. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
71', Altimira A. 🟨,
73', Novoa Ramos H. ↓, Pascual J. ↑,
76', 1 - 0, Fores A. ⚽, Ontiveros J. (A),
81', Tasende D. ↓, Rodri ↑,
83', Manzanara F. ↓, Sabin ↑,
88', Ontiveros J. ↓, Requena D. ↑,
88', Fores A. ↓, Collado D. ↑,
90+1', Garcia C. 🟨,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Villarreal B is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ferrol is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Villarreal B could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Villarreal B won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villarreal B
Spanish LaLiga2
15.04.24	Alcorcón - Villarreal B	1:0 ✺
07.04.24	Villarreal B - Burgos	2:1 ✺
31.03.24	Real Oviedo - Villarreal B	2:1 ✺
23.03.24	Villarreal B - Leganés	1:2 ✺
16.03.24	Eibar - Villarreal B	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWLLL
- Racing Club Ferrol
Spanish LaLiga2
14.04.24	Ferrol - Huesca	2:1 ✺
05.04.24	Amorebieta - Ferrol	3:1 ✺
31.03.24	Ferrol - Elche	1:0 ✺
25.03.24	Albacete Balompié - Ferrol	1:1 ✺
17.03.24	Ferrol - Valladolid	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
10.09.23	Ferrol - Villarreal B	2:2

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