Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 34

Date: 7 April 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio de la Ceramica (Villarreal)

Referee: Gonzalez Diaz M. (Esp)


	Villarreal B		Burgos

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.1	2.7	Watch
	2.75	3	2.45
	2.7	3.1	2.65	Watch
	2.86	3.25	2.74
	2.84	3.13	2.77
	2.84	3.1	2.63	Watch
	2.75	3.05	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↓ (2.92)	3.1 ↑ (2.98)	2.65 ↓ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villarreal B
33.9%

Draw
30.4%

Burgos
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

31.9%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

33.2%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villarreal B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Burgos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

The ML Model estimate for Villarreal B aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.3%	53.3%	33.3%

Villarreal B - Burgos Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Villarreal B will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Burgos will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 53.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 28.1% – 78.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alvarez I. (G) 2. Altimira A. 33. Navarro P. 12. Lekovic S. 19. Iniguez P. (C) 3. Tasende D. 17. Novoa Ramos H. 8. Garcia C. 10. Ontiveros J. 18. Romero C. 9. Fores A.	13. Caro J. (G) 4. Arroyo A. 18. Aitor Cordoba 20. Sierra G. 23. Matos Jose 11. Alex 5. Atienza M. 14. Elgezabal U. (C) 7. Ojeda D. 9. Nino F. 16. Curro
Substitutes
7. Collado D. 29. Espigares A. 24. Ferrari A. 14. Gelardo A. 22. Geralnik T. 16. Lanchi 13. Morro M. A. (G) 11. Pascual J. 5. Rando A. 27. Requena D. 15. Sanchez M.	1. Badiashile L. (G) 10. Bermejo A. 2. Gonzalez B. 8. Martin A. 21. Montiel J. 22. Munoz M. 26. Rodriguez S. (G)
Coaches
Alvarez M.	Bolo

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Navarro P. ⚽,
24', Romero C. 🟨,
36', Iniguez P. 🟨,
40', Elgezabal U. 🟨,
42', 2 - 0, Fores A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Elgezabal U. ↓, Montiel J. ↑,
61', Ojeda D. ↓, Bermejo A. ↑,
71', Atienza M. ↓, Gonzalez B. ↑,
71', Matos Jose ↓, Munoz M. ↑,
71', Curro ↓, Martin A. ↑,
72', Garcia C. ↓, Lanchi ↑,
74', Novoa Ramos H. ↓, Geralnik T. ↑,
84', 2 - 1, Nino F. ⚽,
84', Fores A. ↓, Pascual J. ↑,
85', Romero C. ↓, Requena D. ↑,
90+2', Ontiveros J. ↓, Collado D. ↑,
90+5', Pascual J. 🟨,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Villarreal B has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Burgos is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Villarreal B could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Burgos to win the game is with odds 2.55.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Villarreal B won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Villarreal B won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villarreal B
Spanish LaLiga2
31.03.24	Real Oviedo - Villarreal B	2:1 ✺
23.03.24	Villarreal B - Leganés	1:2 ✺
16.03.24	Eibar - Villarreal B	2:0 ✺
10.03.24	Villarreal B - Elche	0:1 ✺
02.03.24	Eldense - Villarreal B	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Burgos CF
Spanish LaLiga2
29.03.24	Burgos - Espanyol	0:0 ✺
24.03.24	Huesca - Burgos	3:0 ✺
16.03.24	Burgos - Levante	1:1 ✺
10.03.24	Eibar - Burgos	0:1 ✺
02.03.24	Burgos - Cartagena	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
15.10.23	Burgos - Villarreal B	3:2
01.05.23	Burgos - Villarreal B	1:0
01.10.22	Villarreal B - Burgos	0:0

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