Match Info

BULGARIA: VTORA LIGA - ROUND 20

Date: 10 December 2023, Sunday


	Sportist Svoge		Maritsa Plovdiv

	1	X	2
	1.47	3.75	6.5	Watch
	1.57	3.7	5.61
	1.57	3.43	5.61
	1.57	3.52	5.55	Watch
	1.57	3.5	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.88)	3.58 ↑ (3.34)	5.81 ↑ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportist Svoge
58.8%

Draw
25.5%

Maritsa Plovdiv
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.3%

27.2%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

26.2%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportist Svoge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sportist Svoge's performance.

Maritsa Plovdiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Maritsa Plovdiv might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportist Svoge than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sportist Svoge that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maritsa Plovdiv than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maritsa Plovdiv could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Vasilev I. (G) 21. Bastunov A. 22. Chilikov P. 23. Dembele S. 15. Dikov S. (C) 87. Ivanov A. 20. Madzharov G. 88. Samba L. 11. Stefanov K. 27. Taskov K. 9. Zhivkov R.	33. Nachev P. (G) 5. Avramov D. 24. David I. 17. Domovchiyski V. (C) 23. James S. 21. Malamov S. 10. Marchev V. 77. Popov S. 4. Pushkarov M. 29. Tasholov A. 9. Trifonov G.
Substitutes
19. Beshev K. 1. Goshev I. (G) 17. Krastev M. 18. Marinov Y. 10. Semerdzhiev V.	15. Dimitrov H. 30. Hristev N. 86. Nikolov I. (G) 18. Peev A. 26. Petkov V. (G) 70. Shehov B. 19. Sirakov S. 2. Valkov G. 22. Yordanov I.

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 14).

Sportist Svoge is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Maritsa Plovdiv is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sportist Svoge will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sportist Svoge won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Sportist Svoge won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportist Svoge
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
03.12.23	Spartak Varna - Sportist Svoge	2:2 ✺
25.11.23	Sportist Svoge - Belasitsa Petrich	1:1 ✺
12.11.23	Sportist Svoge - Bdin Vidin	2:0 ✺
03.11.23	Chernomorets Burgas - Sportist Svoge	1:2 ✺
27.10.23	Sportist Svoge - Yantra Gabrovo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 TTWWT
- FC Maritsa Plovdiv
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
03.12.23	Maritsa Plovdiv - CSKA 1948 Sofia II	1:0 ✺
25.11.23	Spartak Pleven - Maritsa Plovdiv	2:0 ✺
11.11.23	Ludogorets II - Maritsa Plovdiv	1:0 ✺
07.11.23	Maritsa Plovdiv - Lovech	1:0 ✺
Bulgarian Cup
01.11.23	Maritsa Plovdiv - CSKA 1948 Sofia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Vtora Liga
31.07.23	Maritsa Plovdiv - Sportist Svoge	3:1
12.05.23	Sportist Svoge - Maritsa Plovdiv	2:0
15.10.22	Maritsa Plovdiv - Sportist Svoge	0:0
01.12.21	Maritsa Plovdiv - Sportist Svoge	2:0
24.07.21	Sportist Svoge - Maritsa Plovdiv	0:2

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