Match Info

BULGARIA: VTORA LIGA - ROUND 19

Date: 3 December 2023, Sunday


	Spartak Varna		Sportist Svoge

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.2	7.5	Watch
	1.37	4.12	7
	1.38	4.12	7
	1.35	4.3	7.8	Watch
	1.37	4.3	7.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.4)	4.21 ↑ (4.15)	7.38 ↑ (6.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spartak Varna
66.2%

Draw
21.5%

Sportist Svoge
12.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.8%

21.9%

13.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1%

21.1%

12.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spartak Varna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Sportist Svoge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Varna than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportist Svoge than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Spartak Varna - Sportist Svoge Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Georgiev G. (G) 29. Ahmedov A. 5. Baurenski Y. 2. Boev V. 44. Granchov A. 9. Mehmed M. 11. Mitev V. (C) 45. Nachev D. 10. Rumenov R. 6. Tsvetkov A. 81. Zehirov A.	33. Vasilev I. (G) 21. Bastunov A. 22. Chilikov P. 15. Dikov S. (C) 16. Ivanov A. 5. Madzharov G. 88. Samba L. 7. Sandov M. 10. Semerdzhiev V. 11. Stefanov K. 8. Zhivkov R.
Substitutes
78. Angelov A. 18. Hyusein H. 7. Iliev E. 13. Ivanov G. 88. Ivanov S. 19. Kurbanov K. 75. N'Zi J. 3. Petrov P. 89. Videnov N. (G)	19. Beshev K. 23. Dembele S. 6. Feradov A. 1. Goshev I. (G) 17. Krastev M. 18. Marinov Y. 14. Taskov K.

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Parva liga and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Spartak Varna is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Sportist Svoge is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sportist Svoge could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Spartak Varna is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Spartak Varna to win the game is with odds 1.37.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Spartak Varna won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Spartak Varna won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spartak Varna
Bulgarian Cup
18.11.23	Lokomotiv Sofia - Spartak Varna	0:1 penalties ✺
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
12.11.23	Spartak Pleven - Spartak Varna	2:1 ✺
07.11.23	Spartak Varna - Ludogorets II	4:0 ✺
Bulgarian Cup
01.11.23	Spartak Varna - Krumovgrad	1:0 ✺
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
25.10.23	Lovech - Spartak Varna	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.9 WLWWW
- Sportist Svoge
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
25.11.23	Sportist Svoge - Belasitsa Petrich	1:1 ✺
12.11.23	Sportist Svoge - Bdin Vidin	2:0 ✺
03.11.23	Chernomorets Burgas - Sportist Svoge	1:2 ✺
27.10.23	Sportist Svoge - Yantra Gabrovo	0:0 ✺
21.10.23	Marek Dupnitsa - Sportist Svoge	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Vtora Liga
22.07.23	Sportist Svoge - Spartak Varna	2:0
14.05.22	Spartak Varna - Sportist Svoge	1:1
19.11.21	Sportist Svoge - Spartak Varna	0:3

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