The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sportivo Belgrano 48.8%
Draw 32.2%
General San Martín de Formosa 19%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.7%
28.9%
26.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.1%
29.8%
25.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sportivo Belgrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
General San Martín de Formosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and General San Martín de Formosa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Belgrano than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for General San Martín de Formosa than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that General San Martín de Formosa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sportivo Belgrano - General San Martín de Formosa Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Roggero S. (G) 6. Alessandria C. 9. Attis T. 11. Avaro E. 2. Camisassa B. 4. Ferreyra L. 5. Gimenez J. 8. Hang F. 10. Jaime J. 3. Pennesi T. 7. Rossi J.
1. Humeler K. (G) 4. Alderete R. P. 5. Bobadilla M. 11. Chiquichano O. 2. Finardi B. 3. Griego A. 7. Haberkorn F. 6. Leiva D. 10. Nunez G. 9. Siergiejuk M. 8. Tapia R.
Substitutes
20. Brylko H. 15. Cortizo P. 13. Culasso L. 17. Franceschi E. 16. Franco D. 19. Lehmann A. 12. Martina L. (G) 14. Nallim T. 18. Sagristani M.
14. Amud L. 18. Aquino A. 12. Cordero M. (G) 15. Illanes Machuca F. 17. Peralta B. 13. Serrano R. 16. Suarez I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Hang F. ⚽,
39', Chiquichano O. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
54', Bobadilla M. 🟨,
61', Jaime J. ↓, Sagristani M. ↑,
61', Attis T. ↓, Brylko H. ↑,
63', Finardi B. 🟨,
65', Hang F. 🟨,
71', 🟨,
73', Gimenez J. ↓, Cortizo P. ↑,
73', Hang F. ↓, Franceschi E. ↑,
78', 🟨,
78', 2 - 0, Sagristani M. ⚽,
80', 3 - 0, Franceschi E. ⚽,
Preview
Sportivo Belgrano is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
San Martín Formosa is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Sportivo Belgrano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Sportivo Belgrano is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Belgrano won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 2.3:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Sportivo Belgrano won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 2.3:0.7).