Match Info

Torneo Federal - Round 11

Date: 31 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Oscar C. Boero (San Francisco)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Sportivo Belgrano		Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy

	1	X	2
	1.85	2.82	4.65	Watch
	1.92	2.81	4.76
	1.71	3.15	5.98	Watch
	1.85	2.63	4.8
	1.91	2.82	5.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.81)	2.85 ↓ (2.98)	5.08 ↑ (4.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportivo Belgrano
49.7%

Draw
32.3%

Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

30.5%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

28.5%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportivo Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Belgrano than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Sportivo Belgrano - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:-1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Martina L. (G) 11. Bono J. 8. Churchi S. 6. Ferrero G. 4. Ferreyra L. (C) 5. Gimenez J. 7. Lehmann A. 9. Lesman G. 2. Paiz J. 3. Pennesi T. 10. Sagristani M.	1. Dormisch N. (G) 10. Caseres F. 7. Dauria M. 2. Flores F. 3. Gallo M. 8. Gutierrez M. 5. Iturrieta J. 9. Marfort S. 6. Robatto V. 11. Visser B. 4. Zarate A.
Substitutes
14. Alessi L. 19. Bassani J. 12. Bravo P. (G) 16. Contreras P. 20. Forlin M. 15. Franceschi E. 18. Mercado E. 17. Tarifa G. 13. Vidal J.	19. Almada L. 17. Avalos N. 20. Fernandez V. 13. Fiol F. 12. Ilchischen N. (G) 15. Medina R. 16. Salinardi A. M. 18. Salvaggio M. 14. Samaniego L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', 🟨,
24', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', 🟨,
59', 🟨,
64', 1 - 0, ⚽,
77', 🟨,
81', 🟨,
86', 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: ))

Sportivo Belgrano has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Gimnasia Chivilcoy is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Sportivo Belgrano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Sportivo Belgrano is a strong favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Belgrano won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Sportivo Belgrano won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportivo Belgrano
Argentinian Torneo Federal
24.05.26	9 de Julio - Sportivo Belgrano	0:2 ✺
17.05.26	Atlético Escobar - Sportivo Belgrano	1:3 ✺
10.05.26	Sportivo Belgrano - Sportivo Las Parejas	2:0 ✺
02.05.26	Independiente Chivilcoy - Sportivo Belgrano	0:3 ✺
26.04.26	Sportivo Belgrano - El Linqueño	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 WWWWT
- Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy
Argentinian Torneo Federal
23.05.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - Douglas Haig	2:0 ✺
16.05.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo	3:0 ✺
10.05.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy	1:0 ✺
03.05.26	El Linqueño - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - 9 de Julio	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
29.03.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - Sportivo Belgrano	0:0
14.09.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - Sportivo Belgrano	3:0
15.06.25	Sportivo Belgrano - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy	0:0
13.04.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - Sportivo Belgrano	2:1

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