Match Info

Date: 6 May 2022, Friday


	Sportivo Belgrano		Juventud Unida Gualeguaychu

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.8	3.25
	2.17	2.9	3.3
	2.24	2.8	3.24
	2.23	3.02	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (3.05)	2.88 ↑ (2.59)	3.26 ↑ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportivo Belgrano
40.8%

Draw
31.5%

Juventud Unida Gualeguaychu
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.5%

34.7%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

32.7%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportivo Belgrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sportivo Belgrano's performance.

Juventud Unida Gualeguaychu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juventud Unida Gualeguaychu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Belgrano than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sportivo Belgrano that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventud Unida Gualeguaychu than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juventud Unida Gualeguaychu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sportivo Belgrano - Juventud Unida Gualeguaychu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sportivo Belgrano won 2.

Recent matches Sportivo Belgrano is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Juventud Unida has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Sportivo Belgrano will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Sportivo Belgrano won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Sportivo Belgrano won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportivo Belgrano
Argentinian Torneo Federal
30.04.22	Boca Unidos - Sportivo Belgrano	2:3 ✺
24.04.22	Sportivo Belgrano - Juventud Antoniana	0:1 ✺
16.04.22	Crucero del Norte - Sportivo Belgrano	1:0 ✺
10.04.22	Sportivo Belgrano - Sportivo Las Parejas	2:2 ✺
03.04.22	Atlético Paraná - Sportivo Belgrano	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WLLTW
- Juventud Unida Gualeguaychu
Argentinian Torneo Federal
30.04.22	Juventud Unida Gualeguaychu - Racing de Córdoba	0:3 ✺
24.04.22	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Juventud Unida Gualeguaychu	2:0 ✺
10.04.22	Juventud Unida Gualeguaychu - Boca Unidos	1:2 ✺
03.04.22	Juventud Antoniana - Juventud Unida Gualeguaychu	1:0 ✺
27.03.22	Juventud Unida Gualeguaychu - Crucero del Norte	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
10.10.21	Juventud Unida Gualeguaychu - Sportivo Belgrano	1:0
11.07.21	Sportivo Belgrano - Juventud Unida Gualeguaychu	0:2
20.12.20	Sportivo Belgrano - Juventud Unida Gualeguaychu	3:2
24.11.19	Sportivo Belgrano - Juventud Unida Gualeguaychu	0:1
Argentinian Primera Nacional
19.07.15	Sportivo Belgrano - Juventud Unida Gualeguaychu	1:0
08.03.15	Juventud Unida Gualeguaychu - Sportivo Belgrano	2:0

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