Match Info

Torneo Federal - Round 8

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Oscar C. Boero (San Francisco)


	Sportivo Belgrano		Sportivo Las Parejas

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.4	5.75
	1.6	3.15	5.9
	1.61	3.14	5.77
	1.65	3.28	6.34	Watch
	1.62	3	6
	1.59	3.18	6.33
	1.51	3.6	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.51)	3.25 ↓ (3.6)	6.07 ↓ (6.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportivo Belgrano
57.1%

Draw
27.9%

Sportivo Las Parejas
14.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.4%

25.3%

14.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.2%

24.2%

13.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportivo Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Sportivo Las Parejas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Belgrano than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sportivo Belgrano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Las Parejas than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Sportivo Belgrano - Sportivo Las Parejas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Martina L. (G)
11. Bono J.
5. Caviglia J.
8. Churchi S.
4. Ferreyra L. (C)
3. Gancedo M.
7. Lehmann A.
9. Lesman G.
2. Paiz J.
6. Pennesi T.
10. Sagristani M.
Substitutes
14. Alessi L.
20. Arostegui J. I.
12. Bravo P. (G)
19. Forlin M.
15. Franceschi E.
16. Gimenez J.
18. Mercado E.
17. Tarifa G.
13. Vidal J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', 🟨,
38', 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
53', 🟨,
55', 1 - 0, ⚽,
78', 2 - 0, ⚽,
79', 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: ) and 9 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Belgrano won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Sportivo Belgrano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sportivo Belgrano is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Belgrano won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 0.9:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Sportivo Belgrano won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.4:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportivo Belgrano
Argentinian Torneo Federal
02.05.26	Independiente Chivilcoy - Sportivo Belgrano	0:3 ✺
26.04.26	Sportivo Belgrano - El Linqueño	1:1 ✺
17.04.26	Sportivo Belgrano - Douglas Haig	0:1 ✺
12.04.26	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Sportivo Belgrano	1:1 ✺
29.03.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - Sportivo Belgrano	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WTLTT
- Sportivo Las Parejas
Argentinian Torneo Federal
03.05.26	Sportivo Las Parejas - Douglas Haig	0:0 ✺
26.04.26	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Sportivo Las Parejas	2:0 ✺
19.04.26	Sportivo Las Parejas - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay	2:0 ✺
12.04.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - Sportivo Las Parejas	1:0 ✺
05.04.26	Sportivo Las Parejas - 9 de Julio	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
01.06.25	Sportivo Las Parejas - Sportivo Belgrano	0:1
30.03.25	Sportivo Belgrano - Sportivo Las Parejas	3:0
04.08.24	Sportivo Las Parejas - Sportivo Belgrano	1:0
19.05.24	Sportivo Las Parejas - Sportivo Belgrano	0:0
25.03.24	Sportivo Belgrano - Sportivo Las Parejas	1:0
13.09.23	Sportivo Las Parejas - Sportivo Belgrano	1:1
16.07.23	Sportivo Belgrano - Sportivo Las Parejas	1:2

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