Match Info
Division Intermedia - Round 11Date: 6 June 2026, Saturday
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Sportivo Carapeguá |
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Independiente Asuncion |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.15 |
3.10 |
2.95 |
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2.2 |
3.05 |
2.98 |
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2.20 |
3.25 |
3.06 |
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2.24 |
3.25 |
3.09 |
 Watch |
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2.20 |
2.90 |
3.10 |
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2.2 |
3.1 |
3.09 |
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2.00 |
3.10 |
2.80 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.17 ↓
(2.26) |
3.11 ↓
(3.21) |
3.01 ↓
(3.1) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Sportivo Carapeguá
41.3% | Draw
28.9% | Independiente Asuncion
29.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sportivo Carapeguá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Independiente Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Carapeguá than the current prediction. (+0.1%)The ML Model estimate for Independiente Asuncion aligns with the current prediction.Sportivo Carapeguá - Independiente Asuncion Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 38', 0 - 1, Morel F. ⚽,
- 45', 0 - 2, Morel F. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 6).Recent form of Carapeguá has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).Independiente FBC has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).Carapeguá may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. Carapeguá could have a small edge in this match.In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Carapeguá won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).Including home matches between the teams, Carapeguá won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 6 | Independiente FBC | 27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 40:35 | 5 | 40 |
| 7 | Sp. Carapegua | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 32:39 | -7 | 39 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Independiente Asuncion - the odds 3.1 are the expected chance of winning is 29.96%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Paraguayan Division Intermedia | | | 03.08.25 | Independiente Asuncion - Sportivo Carapeguá | 3:3 | | 28.04.25 | Sportivo Carapeguá - Independiente Asuncion | 1:1 | | 19.08.24 | Independiente Asuncion - Sportivo Carapeguá | 0:1 | | 08.07.23 | Sportivo Carapeguá - Independiente Asuncion | 2:0 |
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