Match Info

Division Intermedia - Round 28

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday


	Sportivo Carapeguá		River Plate Asunción

	1	X	2
	2.09	3.42	2.77
	2.29	3.50	2.83	Watch
	2.19	3.34	2.92
	2.27	2.8	3.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (2.12)	3.27 ↑ (3.1)	2.97 ↓ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportivo Carapeguá
41.3%

Draw
28%

River Plate Asunción
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

29%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

29.1%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportivo Carapeguá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

River Plate Asunción has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Carapeguá than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate Asunción than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Sportivo Carapeguá - River Plate Asunción Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - River Plate (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. River Plate (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, ⚽,
40', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', 🟥,
58', 3 - 0, ⚽,
60', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 13 and 6).

Carapeguá is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

River Plate has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

River Plate may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Carapeguá could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Carapeguá won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportivo Carapeguá
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
14.09.25	Rubio Ñu - Sportivo Carapeguá	1:0 ✺
06.09.25	Sportivo Carapeguá - Pastoreo	0:2 ✺
Copa Paraguay
02.09.25	Sportivo Carapeguá - Atlético Tembetary	0:1 ✺
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
28.08.25	Deportivo Santaní - Sportivo Carapeguá	4:1 ✺
25.08.25	Sportivo Carapeguá - Tacuary	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLT
- River Plate Asunción
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
13.09.25	River Plate Asunción - Independiente Asuncion	2:0 ✺
07.09.25	Sol de América - River Plate Asunción	1:0 ✺
28.08.25	River Plate Asunción - Fernando de la Mora	0:3 ✺
22.08.25	Encarnación - River Plate Asunción	1:1 ✺
19.08.25	River Plate Asunción - 12 de Junio	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Division Intermedia
16.06.25	River Plate Asunción - Sportivo Carapeguá	0:2

Sportivo Carapeguá - River Plate Asunción: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide