Match Info

Division Intermedia - Round 26

Date: 6 September 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Paraguay	Tigo Sports+


	Sportivo Carapeguá		Pastoreo

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.1	2.85
	2.32	3.2	2.68
	2.33	3.3	2.72
	25.00	8.07	1.07	Watch
	2.31	3.26	2.7
	2.1	3.44	3.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.04 ↑ (2.07)	4.06 ↑ (3.3)	2.51 ↓ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportivo Carapeguá
20.4%

Draw
30.4%

Pastoreo
49.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

27.3%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

26.9%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportivo Carapeguá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-23.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sportivo Carapeguá's form might have worsened.

Pastoreo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pastoreo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Carapeguá than the current prediction. (+23.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sportivo Carapeguá, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pastoreo than the current prediction. (-20.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pastoreo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sportivo Carapeguá - Pastoreo Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
76', Ojeda M. 🟥,
79', 0 - 1, Falcon D. ⚽,
90+2', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 11).

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Pastoreo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Carapeguá might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carapeguá won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.8:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Carapeguá won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportivo Carapeguá
Copa Paraguay
02.09.25	Sportivo Carapeguá - Atlético Tembetary	0:1 ✺
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
28.08.25	Deportivo Santaní - Sportivo Carapeguá	4:1 ✺
25.08.25	Sportivo Carapeguá - Tacuary	2:2 ✺
21.08.25	Resistencia - Sportivo Carapeguá	1:1 ✺
17.08.25	Sportivo Carapeguá - Guaireña	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLTTT
- Pastoreo FC
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
31.08.25	Pastoreo - Independiente Asuncion	1:2 ✺
Copa Paraguay
27.08.25	Pastoreo - Cerro Porteño	0:3 ✺
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
22.08.25	Sol de América - Pastoreo	1:1 ✺
18.08.25	Pastoreo - Fernando de la Mora	2:0 ✺
14.08.25	Encarnación - Pastoreo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Division Intermedia
01.06.25	Pastoreo - Sportivo Carapeguá	3:1
27.09.24	Sportivo Carapeguá - Pastoreo	3:1
22.06.24	Pastoreo - Sportivo Carapeguá	1:3
22.09.23	Pastoreo - Sportivo Carapeguá	3:1
19.06.23	Sportivo Carapeguá - Pastoreo	1:2

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