Match Info

Division Intermedia - Round 25

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports
Paraguay	Futbol Paraguayo, Tigo Sports, Tigo Sports+


	Sportivo Carapeguá		Tacuary

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.50	3.50
	1.74	3.55	3.65
	1.85	3.64	3.70
	1.88	3.6	3.86	Watch
	1.82	3.30	3.55
	1.98	3.65	3.44
	1.82	3.30	3.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.74)	3.51 ↓ (3.81)	3.63 ↓ (4.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportivo Carapeguá
49.2%

Draw
25.9%

Tacuary
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

24.4%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

23.9%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportivo Carapeguá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Tacuary has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Carapeguá than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sportivo Carapeguá, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tacuary than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Sportivo Carapeguá - Tacuary Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Carapeguá will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 8th and 15th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carapeguá won 0.

In recent outings, Carapeguá has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Tacuary is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Carapeguá carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Carapeguá has recorded 1 win, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:12 (averaging 1:1.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Carapeguá against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 2:6 goals (averaging 0.7:2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Sp. Carapegua	27	11	6	10	32:39	-7	39
15	Tacuary	27	4	12	11	30:43	-13	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportivo Carapeguá
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
15.09.26	Atlético Tembetary - Sportivo Carapeguá	1:2 ✺
10.09.26	Sportivo Carapeguá - Benjamín Aceval	2:0 ✺
04.09.26	Sportivo Carapeguá - Paraguarí	2:3 ✺
30.08.26	12 de Junio - Sportivo Carapeguá	0:1 ✺
23.08.26	Sportivo Carapeguá - Encarnación	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.3 WWLWL
- Tacuary
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
15.09.26	Tacuary - 12 de Junio	1:2 ✺
09.09.26	Encarnación - Tacuary	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Tacuary - Deportivo Santaní	0:3 ✺
29.08.26	Fernando de la Mora - Tacuary	1:1 ✺
23.08.26	Tacuary - 3 de Noviembre	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Division Intermedia
31.05.26	Tacuary - Sportivo Carapeguá	2:2
25.08.25	Sportivo Carapeguá - Tacuary	2:2
21.05.25	Tacuary - Sportivo Carapeguá	2:1
Paraguayan Primera Division
02.12.12	Sportivo Carapeguá - Tacuary	0:4
22.09.12	Tacuary - Sportivo Carapeguá	2:2
30.06.12	Tacuary - Sportivo Carapeguá	N/A

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