Match Info

Division Intermedia - Round 25

Date: 31 August 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Paraguay	Tigo Sports+


	Pastoreo		Independiente Asuncion

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	3
	2.08	3.05	3.25
	2.1	3.16	3.2
	2.29	3.11	3.16	Watch
	2.2	2.9	3.2
	2.13	3.14	3.22
	2.55	3.15	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (1.85)	3.09 ↓ (3.3)	3.1 ↓ (4.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pastoreo
41.1%

Draw
29.5%

Independiente Asuncion
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

28%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

24.1%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pastoreo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pastoreo's form might have worsened.

Independiente Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Independiente Asuncion's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pastoreo than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Asuncion than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Pastoreo - Independiente Asuncion Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Independiente FBC (2.35) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Independiente FBC (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
24', 1 - 0, Nunez C. ⚽,
30', 1 - 1, Dietze S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
64', 1 - 2, Rivarola V. ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 14).

In recent matches, Pastoreo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Independiente FBC is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pastoreo won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.6:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Pastoreo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pastoreo FC
Copa Paraguay
27.08.25	Pastoreo - Cerro Porteño	0:3 ✺
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
22.08.25	Sol de América - Pastoreo	1:1 ✺
18.08.25	Pastoreo - Fernando de la Mora	2:0 ✺
14.08.25	Encarnación - Pastoreo	1:0 ✺
10.08.25	Pastoreo - 12 de Junio	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LTWLT
- Independiente Asuncion
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
24.08.25	Independiente Asuncion - Deportivo Santaní	1:1 ✺
20.08.25	Tacuary - Independiente Asuncion	1:0 ✺
17.08.25	Independiente Asuncion - Resistencia	1:2 ✺
09.08.25	Guaireña - Independiente Asuncion	4:2 ✺
03.08.25	Independiente Asuncion - Sportivo Carapeguá	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Division Intermedia
26.05.25	Independiente Asuncion - Pastoreo	2:0
22.07.24	Independiente Asuncion - Pastoreo	0:2
04.08.23	Pastoreo - Independiente Asuncion	0:3
28.04.23	Independiente Asuncion - Pastoreo	1:1
03.07.22	Pastoreo - Independiente Asuncion	0:0

Pastoreo - Independiente Asuncion: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide