The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sportivo Dock Sud 39.7%
Draw 29.8%
Argentino de Quilmes 30.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.2%
30%
23.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.3%
28.1%
22.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sportivo Dock Sud has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sportivo Dock Sud's form might have worsened.
Argentino de Quilmes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Argentino de Quilmes's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Dock Sud than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sportivo Dock Sud, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Argentino de Quilmes than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Argentino de Quilmes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Sportivo Dock Sud - Argentino de Quilmes Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Tello T. (G) 11. Alvarez I. 9. Arriola B. 3. Barreiro A. 5. Chamorro T. 10. Gomez G. 7. Gualtieri G. 4. Guerrero N. 6. Meza F. 8. Perrone H. 2. Villarreal S.
1. Yzaurralde N. (G) 3. Barreto R. 8. Castano S. (C) 17. Cettou J. 14. Kruger J. 4. Lando F. 7. Martinez J. 9. Scarel J. 10. Torancio E. 5. Vega M. 6. Zarate E.
Substitutes
17. Aranda N. 15. Avalos A. 12. Cuenca E. (G) 16. Eichhorn O. 14. Lopez N. 18. Nicolaievsky F. 19. Perez R. 13. Rodriguez F. 20. Villordo T.
. Benavidez N. 12. Cheppi G. (G) 11. Filliol F. . Filosa L. 18. Gaitan T. 20. Guzman L. . Pena D. 13. Poza A. 16. Sanchez N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Perrone H. 🟨,
33', Cettou J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
64', Vega M. ↓, Filosa L. ↑,
77', Arriola B. ↓, Aranda N. ↑,
Preview
A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 12th and 16th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dock Sud won 2.
Dock Sud has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Argentino de Quilmes has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Dock Sud could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Dock Sud holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 16 head-to-head meetings, Dock Sud has recorded 4 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 13:18 (averaging 0.8:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Dock Sud against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with 4:10 goals (averaging 0.5:1.3 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
12
Dock Sud
38
11
14
13
40:42
-2
47
16
Argentino de Quilmes
38
9
16
13
30:37
-7
43
Last Results with these Odds
Argentino de Quilmes - the odds 3.78 are the expected chance of winning is 23.8%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.