The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
San Martín de Burzaco 39.2%
Draw 33.3%
Argentino de Quilmes 27.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.3%
29.8%
31.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.4%
30.7%
31%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Martín de Burzaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
Argentino de Quilmes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Martín de Burzaco than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Argentino de Quilmes than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
60%
20%
San Martín de Burzaco - Argentino de Quilmes Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. SM de Burzaco will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Argentino de Quilmes will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Gagliardo M. (G) 7. Cuenca C. 4. Escudero M. 11. Gauna N. A. 3. Geneiro L. 10. Gonzalez R. 2. Lazarev R. 8. Modon S. 6. Orellana D. 5. Peralta R. 9. Zagert E.
1. Yzaurralde N. (G) 6. Barreto R. 2. Castano S. 10. Ceccotti M. 9. Compagnucci M. 8. Escudero L. 11. Filliol F. 5. Filosa L. 7. Guzman L. 3. Kruger J. 4. Lando F.
Substitutes
18. Costa L. 15. Denis K. 17. Diaz R. 20. Funes A. 14. Juarez F. 16. Lezcano L. 12. Marchesi N. (G) 13. Tobon J. 19. Velazquez R.
17. Alfonso S. 16. Cettou J. 15. Diez E. 13. Fernandez S. 20. Gaitan T. 12. Garcia R. (G) 19. Pena D. 18. Sanchez N. 14. Zarate E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
19', 0 - 1, Compagnucci M. ⚽,
37', 0 - 2, Compagnucci M. ⚽,
41', Escudero M. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
48', Lando F. 🟨,
48', Lazarev R. 🟨,
54', 1 - 2, Lazarev R. ⚽,
55', 2 - 2, Geneiro L. ⚽,
55', Cuenca C. ↓, Velazquez R. ↑,
62', Ceccotti M. ↓, Cettou J. ↑,
70', Castano S. 🟨,
72', Geneiro L. ↓, Funes A. ↑,
72', Escudero M. ↓, Lezcano L. ↑,
73', Guzman L. ↓, Pena D. ↑,
73', Compagnucci M. ↓, Torancio E. ↑,
82', Peralta R. ↓, Costa L. ↑,
82', Modon S. ↓, Diaz R. ↑,
87', Diaz R. 🟨,
88', 3 - 2, Velazquez R. ⚽,
89', Velazquez R. 🟨,
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 14 and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SM de Burzaco won 1.
SM de Burzaco is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Argentino de Quilmes's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
SM de Burzaco could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, SM de Burzaco won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 6:18. (average 0.5:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, SM de Burzaco won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.4:0.8).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
11
San Martin Burzaco
38
12
14
12
39:41
-2
50
16
Argentino de Quilmes
38
9
16
13
30:37
-7
43
Last Results with these Odds
Argentino de Quilmes - the odds 2.8 are the expected chance of winning is 31.9%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.