The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Argentino de Quilmes 36.9%
Draw 33.4%
Villa San Carlos 29.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.7%
29.9%
26.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.3%
31.7%
24.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Argentino de Quilmes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Argentino de Quilmes's form might have worsened.
Villa San Carlos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Argentino de Quilmes than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Argentino de Quilmes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa San Carlos than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
Argentino de Quilmes - Villa San Carlos Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Yzaurralde N. (G) 10. Ceccotti M. 2. Cosciuc F. 8. Escudero L. 7. Guzman L. 3. Kruger J. 4. Lando F. 11. Sanchez N. 9. Torancio E. 5. Vega M. 6. Zarate E.
1. Akimenco T. (G) 5. Acosta A. 2. Areco G. 3. Canete S. 6. Esteves I. 7. Ferrante F. 8. Guallama F. 4. Lloyaiy A. 10. Melillo E. 11. Mussis F. 9. Salinas R.
Substitutes
13. Barreto R. 15. Castano S. 12. Cheppi G. (G) 19. Compagnucci M. 14. Diez E. 18. Filliol F. 16. Filosa L. 20. Gaitan T. 17. Pena D.
20. Almiron M. 12. Bangardino P. (G) 14. Farias F. 15. Gonzalez E. 13. Machin L. 16. Martinez A. 19. Plastino M. 18. Villagra J. 17. Zegarra Z.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Ferrante F. 🟨,
44', Salinas R. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Sanchez N. ↓, Filosa L. ↑,
55', 0 - 1, Salinas R. ⚽,
59', Guallama F. ↓, Gonzalez E. ↑,
59', Acosta A. ↓, Farias F. ↑,
62', Ceccotti M. 🟨,
65', Mussis F. 🟨,
67', Ferrante F. ↓, Martinez A. ↑,
67', Ceccotti M. ↓, Compagnucci M. ↑,
70', Martinez A. 🟨,
74', Canete S. ↓, Zegarra Z. ↑,
75', Salinas R. ↓, Plastino M. ↑,
77', Esteves I. 🟨,
78', 0 - 2, Gonzalez E. ⚽,
79', Vega M. ↓, Gaitan T. ↑,
85', Cosciuc F. 🟨,
85', 🟨,
86', Guzman L. ↓, Diez E. ↑,
90+2', 🟨,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 14 and 16).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Argentino de Quilmes won 1.
In recent matches, Argentino de Quilmes has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Villa San Carlos is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Villa San Carlos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Argentino de Quilmes won 3 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:17. (average 1.1:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Argentino de Quilmes won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1:0.7).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
13
Villa San Carlos
38
11
14
13
37:39
-2
47
16
Argentino de Quilmes
38
9
16
13
30:37
-7
43
Last Results with these Odds
Argentino de Quilmes - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 43.71%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Argentina
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Yzaurralde N. (G) 
Diez E. 
Pena D. 
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