Match Info

Date: 23 April 2021, Friday


	Sportivo Dock Sud		Club Luján

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.2	4
	1.7	3.3	4.8
	1.8	3.15	4.3
	1.83	3.37	4.8
	1.8	3.1	4.33
	1.8	3.3	4.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.69)	3.24 ↓ (3.3)	4.44 ↓ (4.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportivo Dock Sud
51.1%

Draw
28.3%

Club Luján
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

27.5%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

16.9%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportivo Dock Sud has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Club Luján has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Dock Sud than the current prediction. (-18.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sportivo Dock Sud that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club Luján than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Club Luján could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sportivo Dock Sud - Club Luján Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 and 11).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Dock Sud is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Dock Sud won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Dock Sud won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportivo Dock Sud
Argentinian Primera C
18.04.21	Ferrocarril Midland - Sportivo Dock Sud	0:2 ✺
13.04.21	Sportivo Dock Sud - Atlas General Rodríguez	0:1 ✺
09.04.21	Victoriano Arenas - Sportivo Dock Sud	1:2 ✺
04.04.21	Sportivo Dock Sud - General Lamadrid	2:0 ✺
28.03.21	Real Pilar - Sportivo Dock Sud	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLWWL
- Club Luján
Argentinian Primera C
18.04.21	Club Luján - Ituzaingó	0:1 ✺
13.04.21	Argentino de Merlo - Club Luján	1:3 ✺
09.04.21	Club Luján - Leandro N. Alem	0:0 ✺
03.04.21	Berazategui - Club Luján	1:3 ✺
28.03.21	Club Luján - Excursionistas	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
23.01.21	Sportivo Dock Sud - Club Luján	2:1 penalties
16.03.20	Club Luján - Sportivo Dock Sud	2:1
23.09.19	Sportivo Dock Sud - Club Luján	0:0
21.02.19	Sportivo Dock Sud - Club Luján	1:1
13.09.18	Club Luján - Sportivo Dock Sud	1:2
18.02.18	Club Luján - Sportivo Dock Sud	1:0
25.06.17	Sportivo Dock Sud - Club Luján	2:1

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