Match Info

Primera B - Clausura - Round 12

Date: 8 September 2025, Monday

Location: Raul Roberto Sabureau Stadium (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Ferrocarril Midland		Sportivo Dock Sud

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.44	3.6	7
	1.47	3.7	7.1	Watch
	1.5	3.56	7.28
	1.66	3.03	6.46	Watch
	1.48	3.55	7.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.56)	3.49 ↓ (3.51)	7.16 ↑ (6.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferrocarril Midland
60.8%

Draw
26.3%

Sportivo Dock Sud
12.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.2%

26.2%

14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

25.4%

14.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferrocarril Midland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Sportivo Dock Sud has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrocarril Midland than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Dock Sud than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Ferrocarril Midland - Sportivo Dock Sud Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Maldonado L. (G) 4. Diaz Laharque L. 2. Castorani P. 6. Cataldi F. 3. Figueroa R. 8. Frattini M. (C) 5. Violini N. 7. Rogoski M. 11. Molina F. 10. Campana A. I. 9. Vico L.	1. Bustillos J. (G) 4. Durante P. 2. Arias D. 6. Orellana D. 3. Meza Montiel D. 8. Villalba B. 5. Vlaeminch E. 10. Quevedo V. 11. Melillo E. 7. Avalos A. 9. Molina M.
Substitutes
15. Abbruzzesse M. 14. Aguilar D. 12. Avendano N. (G) 19. Calabria G. 20. Chavez C. 17. Gomez G. 16. Goyeneche J. 13. Meza F. 18. Olivera E.	14. Cavallera R. 17. Chiapparo L. 15. Collares S. 12. Cuenca E. (G) 20. Gauna B. 19. Gonzalez J. 13. Lopez N. 16. Luna T. 18. Schonfeld M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
4', Violini N. 🟨,
4', Avalos A. 🟨,
30', Orellana D. 🟨,
32', Frattini M. 🟨,
34', 1 - 0, Campana A. I. ⚽,
36', Gomez G. 🟨,
40', Diaz Laharque L. 🟥,
40', Meza Montiel D. 🟥,
45+2', Molina M. 🟨,
45+2', Villalba B. 🟨,
45+4', 2 - 0, Rogoski M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Frattini M. ↓, Meza F. ↑,
57', Vico L. ↓, Abbruzzesse M. ↑,
57', Vlaeminch E. ↓, Luna T. ↑,
58', Quevedo V. ↓, Gauna B. ↑,
64', Avalos A. 🟨,
69', Violini N. ↓, Aguilar D. ↑,
76', Molina F. ↓, Chavez C. ↑,
76', Campana A. I. ↓, Goyeneche J. ↑,
76', Melillo E. ↓, Schonfeld M. ↑,
76', Molina M. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
84', 3 - 0, Figueroa R. ⚽,
89', Villalba B. ↓, Chaparro L. ↑,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Super final: Final) and 17).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ferrocarril won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Ferrocarril is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Ferrocarril won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:14. (average 1.4:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Ferrocarril won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 1.3:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferrocarril Midland
Argentinian Primera B
30.08.25	Villa San Carlos - Ferrocarril Midland	0:0 ✺
23.08.25	Ferrocarril Midland - Real Pilar	0:1 ✺
17.08.25	UAI Urquiza - Ferrocarril Midland	0:2 ✺
08.08.25	Ferrocarril Midland - Sportivo Italiano	2:0 ✺
25.07.25	Excursionistas - Ferrocarril Midland	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TLWWL
- Sportivo Dock Sud
Argentinian Primera B
29.08.25	Sportivo Dock Sud - Excursionistas	1:0 ✺
23.08.25	Acassuso - Sportivo Dock Sud	0:0 ✺
17.08.25	Sportivo Dock Sud - Brown de Adrogué	1:3 ✺
10.08.25	Argentino de Merlo - Sportivo Dock Sud	2:0 ✺
02.08.25	Sportivo Dock Sud - Argentino de Quilmes	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
19.04.25	Sportivo Dock Sud - Ferrocarril Midland	1:1
07.09.24	Sportivo Dock Sud - Ferrocarril Midland	2:3
21.04.24	Ferrocarril Midland - Sportivo Dock Sud	1:0
Argentinian Primera C
03.09.21	Sportivo Dock Sud - Ferrocarril Midland	0:2
18.04.21	Ferrocarril Midland - Sportivo Dock Sud	0:2
11.02.20	Sportivo Dock Sud - Ferrocarril Midland	2:1
20.08.19	Ferrocarril Midland - Sportivo Dock Sud	4:1

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