Match Info

Primera B - Apertura - Round 21

Date: 21 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Republica de Italia Stadium (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Sportivo Italiano		Fénix

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.58	3.2	6
				Watch
	1.42	3.61	8.44
				Watch
	1.6	3.2	6
	1.42	3.72	9.1
	1.5	3.5	8.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.82)	3.45 ↑ (3.1)	7.61 ↑ (4.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportivo Italiano
61.2%

Draw
26.7%

Fénix
12.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

29.2%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

25.8%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportivo Italiano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sportivo Italiano's performance.

Fénix has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fénix might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Italiano than the current prediction. (-17.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sportivo Italiano that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fénix than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fénix could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sportivo Italiano - Fénix Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Fénix (2.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Fénix (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Diaz F. (G) 4. Bifiguer C. 2. Diaz E. 6. Kreiman B. 3. De Cuadro J. 7. Gomez F. 8. Rivero J. 5. Desposito P. 10. Laborda L. 11. Cabrera A. 9. Davila M.	1. Parra V. (G) 4. Bembo J. 2. Cordoba L. 6. Ferro G. 3. Martin Pereyra S. 8. Busto J. 5. Diaz F. 10. Perez F. 11. Silva D. 7. Rizzo F. 9. Auteri S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Ferro G. (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Hernandez B. ↓, Breccia R. ↑,
46', Silva D. ↓, Auteri S. ↑,
55', Diaz F. ↓, Alric F. ↑,
55', Rizzo F. ↓, Perez F. ↑,
64', Laborda L. 🟨,
69', Cordoba L. 🟨,
89', 2 - 0, Mozzone E. ⚽,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 19 and 21).

Sportivo Italiano has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Fénix is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Fénix may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sportivo Italiano is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Italiano won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Sportivo Italiano won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportivo Italiano
Argentinian Primera B
15.06.25	Deportivo Laferrere - Sportivo Italiano	2:1 ✺
11.06.25	Sportivo Italiano - Deportivo Armenio	1:1 ✺
07.06.25	Sportivo Italiano - Liniers	2:0 ✺
31.05.25	Comunicaciones - Sportivo Italiano	1:0 ✺
20.05.25	San Martín de Burzaco - Sportivo Italiano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LTWLT
- CA Fénix Buenos Aires
Argentinian Primera B
15.06.25	Fénix - Ferrocarril Midland	0:0 ✺
07.06.25	Excursionistas - Fénix	1:0 ✺
02.06.25	Fénix - Acassuso	0:0 ✺
25.05.25	Brown de Adrogué - Fénix	2:0 ✺
19.05.25	Fénix - Argentino de Merlo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
23.08.24	Sportivo Italiano - Fénix	3:0
09.04.24	Fénix - Sportivo Italiano	1:1

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