Match Info

Primera B - Round 14

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Republica de Italia Stadium (Buenos Aires)


	Sportivo Italiano		Deportivo Armenio

	1	X	2
	1.92	2.82	4.25	Watch
	1.93	2.89	4.39
	1.93	2.85	4.46	Watch
	1.95	2.7	4.4
	1.88	2.99	4.95
	2.35	2.75	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.13)	2.83 ↑ (2.8)	4.23 ↑ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportivo Italiano
46%

Draw
32.4%

Deportivo Armenio
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

32.5%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

32%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportivo Italiano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Deportivo Armenio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Italiano than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Armenio than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Sportivo Italiano - Deportivo Armenio Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Sportivo Italiano will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Deportivo Armenio will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Yordan G. (G) 4. Bifiguer C. 8. Centurion F. 2. Durante P. 3. Fantino L. 7. Gimenez K. 10. Gomez F. 9. Guzman M. 11. Laborda L. 6. Merzario E. 5. Rivero J.	12. Dominguez J. (G) 10. Barrionuevo D. 8. Chocobar V. 6. Echeverria J. 9. Figueroa G. 11. Herrera Jonathan N. 3. Mosca N. 2. Ortiz B. 7. Suanez T. 5. Tello F. 4. Villalva L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Durante P. ⚽,
11', Figueroa G. 🟨,
29', Bifiguer C. ↓, Zurita A. ↑,
45+3', Fantino L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Suanez T. 🟨,
57', Tello F. ↓, Lagomarsino S. ↑,
57', Suanez T. ↓, Perez O. ↑,
62', Gomez F. ↓, Caceres P. ↑,
62', Gimenez K. ↓, Cenci B. ↑,
66', Centurion F. 🟨,
75', 🟨,
85', 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Italiano won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Sportivo Italiano could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Italiano won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 11:23. (average 0.8:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Sportivo Italiano won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:12. (average 0.7:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Sportivo Italiano	38	18	11	9	45:28	17	65
8	Deportivo Armenio	38	17	9	12	42:38	4	60

Last Results with these Odds

Sportivo Italiano - the odds 2.13 are the expected chance of winning is 42.63%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportivo Italiano
Argentinian Primera B
25.04.26	Deportivo Flandria - Sportivo Italiano	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	Sportivo Italiano - Argentino de Quilmes	2:1 ✺
14.04.26	Defensores Unidos - Sportivo Italiano	2:0 ✺
11.04.26	Sportivo Italiano - Comunicaciones	1:1 ✺
05.04.26	Sportivo Dock Sud - Sportivo Italiano	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TWLTW
- Deportivo Armenio
Argentinian Primera B
26.04.26	Deportivo Armenio - San Martín de Burzaco	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Villa San Carlos - Deportivo Armenio	4:1 ✺
15.04.26	Deportivo Armenio - Liniers	1:0 ✺
11.04.26	Real Pilar - Deportivo Armenio	0:1 ✺
Copa Argentina
07.04.26	Vélez Sársfield - Deportivo Armenio	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
01.12.25	Deportivo Armenio - Sportivo Italiano	1:1
22.11.25	Sportivo Italiano - Deportivo Armenio	0:1
12.10.25	Deportivo Armenio - Sportivo Italiano	3:2
11.06.25	Sportivo Italiano - Deportivo Armenio	1:1
07.09.24	Sportivo Italiano - Deportivo Armenio	0:1
20.04.24	Deportivo Armenio - Sportivo Italiano	2:1
Argentinian Primera C
27.04.19	Deportivo Armenio - Sportivo Italiano	2:1

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