The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
San Martín de Burzaco 35.7%
Draw 33.4%
Sportivo Italiano 30.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.3%
31.9%
36.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.8%
30.4%
38.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Martín de Burzaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
Sportivo Italiano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sportivo Italiano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Martín de Burzaco than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Martín de Burzaco that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Italiano than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sportivo Italiano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
83.3%
16.7%
San Martín de Burzaco - Sportivo Italiano Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 7 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Gagliardo M. (G) 9. Chavez B. 5. Denis K. 20. Funes A. 11. Gauna N. A. 8. Gonzalez R. 2. Lazarev R. 4. Modon S. 3. Siliman A. 6. Tobon J. 10. Velazquez R.
1. Yordan G. (G) 4. Bifiguer C. 7. Caceres P. 3. Fantino L. 10. Gimenez K. 8. Guerra A. 9. Guzman M. 11. Laborda L. 6. Merzario E. 2. Ordonez C. 5. Rivero J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Lazarev R. (Own goal),
19', Denis K. 🟨,
21', Ordonez C. 🟨,
23', Orellana D. 🟨,
27', 1 - 1, Lezcano L. ⚽,
30', Laborda L. ↓, Fortino R. ↑,
45+2', Bifiguer C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Caceres P. ↓, Guzman M. ↑,
50', 1 - 2, De Cuadro J. ⚽,
61', Guerra A. ↓, Guzman L. ↑,
61', De Cuadro J. ↓, Gimenez K. ↑,
67', Diaz R. ↓, Cuenca C. ↑,
67', Funes A. ↓, Gauna N. A. ↑,
75', Tobon J. ↓, Escudero M. ↑,
75', Molina F. ↓, Hirigoyen T. ↑,
77', Lezcano L. ↓, Muzzio M. ↑,
77', Velazquez R. ↓, Arostegui J. ↑,
84', Yordan G. 🟨,
90+2', Guzman M. 🟨,
90+6', Merzario E. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SM de Burzaco won 1.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Recently, SM de Burzaco has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, SM de Burzaco won 7 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:16. (average 1:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, SM de Burzaco won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 1.1:0.6).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Sportivo Italiano
38
18
11
9
45:28
17
65
11
San Martin Burzaco
38
12
14
12
39:41
-2
50
Last Results with these Odds
Sportivo Italiano - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 36.76%, but this team recently wins 23% of matches with these odds.
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Gagliardo M. (G) 
Tobon J. 
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