Match Info

Primera B - Apertura - Round 20

Date: 15 June 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio de San Miguel (San Miguel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports 2, TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play
Usa	Fanatiz
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Fénix		Ferrocarril Midland

	1	X	2
				Watch
	6	3.2	1.57
				Watch
	6.02	3.42	1.59
				Watch
	6.5	3.1	1.6
	5.94	3.51	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.12 ↑ (4.93)	3.31 ↑ (3.15)	1.6 ↓ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fénix
15%

Draw
27.7%

Ferrocarril Midland
57.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.4%

28.8%

52.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.2%

28.5%

53.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fénix has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Ferrocarril Midland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fénix than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferrocarril Midland than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Fénix - Ferrocarril Midland Predictions

Users Predictions: Ferrocarril Midland will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Parra V. (G) 4. Bembo J. 2. Acosta M. 6. Ferro G. 3. Martin Pereyra S. 8. Busto J. 5. Diaz F. (C) 7. Silva D. 11. Perez F. 10. Rizzo F. 9. Auteri S.	1. Maldonado L. (G) 4. Diaz Laharque L. 2. Castorani P. 6. Gigli L. 3. Cataldi F. 8. Frattini M. 5. Violini N. 7. Rogoski M. (C) 10. Campana A. I. 11. Molina F. 9. Vico L.
Substitutes
19. Anriquez D. 15. Aparicio G. 20. Breccia R. 12. Cordero R. (G) 17. Hernandez B. 14. Lugo K. 16. Mayor J. 18. Meridione A. 13. Rojas I.	15. Aguilar D. 20. Arias A. 12. Avendano N. (G) 19. Calabria G. 14. Figueroa R. 17. Gomez G. 13. Meza F. 16. Nunez D. 18. Olivera E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Martin Pereyra S. 🟨,
27', Diaz F. 🟨,
32', Molina F. 🟨,
32', Cordoba L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Silva D. ↓, Hernandez B. ↑,
46', Perez F. ↓, Aparicio G. ↑,
46', Diaz Laharque L. 🟨,
55', Rogoski M. ↓, Calabria G. ↑,
68', Molina F. ↓, Arias A. ↑,
68', Frattini M. ↓, Gomez G. ↑,
73', Auteri S. 🟨,
77', Arias A. 🟨,
80', Rizzo F. 🟨,
85', Cordoba L. ↓, Rojas I. ↑,
85', Cataldi F. ↓, Nunez D. ↑,
85', Diaz Laharque L. ↓, Olivera E. ↑,
90+1', Auteri S. ↓, Anriquez D. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 21 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Super final: Final)).

Fénix has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Ferrocarril is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Ferrocarril may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ferrocarril is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Fénix won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Fénix won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Fénix Buenos Aires
Argentinian Primera B
07.06.25	Excursionistas - Fénix	1:0 ✺
02.06.25	Fénix - Acassuso	0:0 ✺
25.05.25	Brown de Adrogué - Fénix	2:0 ✺
19.05.25	Fénix - Argentino de Merlo	0:2 ✺
11.05.25	Argentino de Quilmes - Fénix	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LTLLL
- Ferrocarril Midland
Argentinian Primera B
08.06.25	Ferrocarril Midland - Deportivo Laferrere	2:0 ✺
31.05.25	Liniers - Ferrocarril Midland	0:2 ✺
24.05.25	Ferrocarril Midland - Comunicaciones	3:0 ✺
18.05.25	Deportivo Armenio - Ferrocarril Midland	1:0 ✺
11.05.25	Ferrocarril Midland - San Martín de Burzaco	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
09.07.24	Ferrocarril Midland - Fénix	0:0
20.02.24	Fénix - Ferrocarril Midland	1:1

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