The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sportivo Luqueño 55.6%
Draw 26.7%
Guaireña 17.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
58.9%
24.9%
16.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.9%
23.7%
15.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sportivo Luqueño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
Guaireña has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Luqueño than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sportivo Luqueño, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guaireña than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Sportivo Luqueño - Guaireña Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Aguilar A. (C)
33. Alborno R.
9. Alvarez A.
27. Benitez J.
3. Brizuela A.
37. Comas L.
15. Maldonado S.
20. Otalvaro S.
17. Pereira K.
18. Rojas R.
5. Villalba A.
Substitutes
1. Falcon G. (G)
7. Ferreira M.
2. Ferreira R.
24. Ledesma A.
10. Mana N.
8. Mendoza J.
11. Vera E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Benitez J. ⚽,
45', Alborno R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', 🟨,
59', Comas L. ↓, Vera E. ↑,
59', Alvarez A. ↓, Mendoza J. ↑,
62', Duarte C. ↓, Caceres Genes N. F. ↑,
68', Vazquez O. 🟨,
70', Villalba A. ↓, Ledesma A. ↑,
73', Mendoza J. 🟨,
80', Alborno R. 🟨,
81', Pereira K. ↓, Ferreira R. ↑,
81', Benitez J. ↓, Ferreira M. ↑,
87', Ferreira M. 🟥,
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Sportivo Luqueño won 2.
Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.
Guaireña could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Guaireña have a series of guest games.
In this match Sportivo Luqueño is a favorite.
Our prediction for today's Sportivo Luqueño to win the game is with odds 1.56.
Last 11 head-to-head matches Sportivo Luqueño won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12:10 (average 1.1:0.9).
Including matches at home between the teams Sportivo Luqueño won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:3 (average 1:0.6).