Match Info

PARAGUAY: Primera Division - Clausura - Round 15

Date: 11 October 2024, Friday

Location: Estadio Luis Alfonso Giagni (Asunción)

Where to Watch on TV:


Paraguay	Tigo Sports
World	DirecTV Sports


	Tacuary		Sportivo Luqueño

	1	X	2
	2.45	3	2.8	Watch
	2.37	2.95	2.7
	2.5	3	2.9	Watch
	2.56	3.1	3.03
	2.53	2.99	2.99	Watch
	2.75	3.1	2.4
	2.49	3.14	2.87	Watch
	2.5	3	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↓ (2.83)	3.04 ↓ (3.06)	2.82 ↑ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tacuary
36.7%

Draw
30.5%

Sportivo Luqueño
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

30.6%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

30.8%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tacuary has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Sportivo Luqueño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tacuary than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Luqueño than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	75%	25%

Tacuary - Sportivo Luqueño Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Sportivo Luqueño will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vagner (G) 2. Fernandez A. 3. Jean Mangabeira 23. Martinez L. 14. Pedrozo R. 10. Colman O. 6. Paredes M. 8. Amarilla A. 20. Riveros L. 17. Morinigo N. 7. Camacho N. (C)	1. Falcon G. (G) 2. Ferreira R. 3. Brizuela A. 5. Villalba A. 34. Vera Cabrera D. R. (C) 13. Torres I. 14. Benitez F. 37. Comas L. 11. Vera E. 7. Ferreira M. 9. Alvarez A.
Substitutes
34. Arguello M. 12. Bareiro A. (G) 16. Bento A. 32. Burgos Velazquez G. 15. Juan Gauto 25. Lezcano D. 36. Nunez M. 21. Romero L. 19. Valdeci 9. Verdun J.	28. Acosta D. 27. Benitez J. 40. Espinola A. (G) 22. Hauche G. 24. Ledesma A. 15. Maldonado S. 10. Mana N. 20. Otalvaro S. 19. Paredes Filippini J. 29. Parra A. 17. Pereira K. 6. Suarez M.
Coaches
Pereira R.	Pumpido J. P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Ferreira M. ⚽, Vera E. (A),
21', Amarilla A. 🟨,
25', Fernandez A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
62', Morinigo N. ↓, Verdun J. ↑,
63', Comas L. ↓, Mana N. ↑,
63', Alvarez A. ↓, Parra A. ↑,
64', Amarilla A. ↓, Juan Gauto ↑,
64', Riveros L. ↓, Lezcano D. ↑,
69', Parra A. 🟨,
71', 0 - 2, Brizuela A. ⚽,
77', Colman O. ↓, Nunez M. ↑,
77', Camacho N. ↓, Arguello M. ↑,
77', Vera E. ↓, Maldonado S. ↑,
80', Brizuela A. 🟨,
82', Ferreira M. ↓, Benitez J. ↑,
82', Torres I. ↓, Hauche G. ↑,
83', Hauche G. 🟨,
90', 0 - 3, Hauche G. ⚽,

Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 11 and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tacuary won 1.

Tacuary is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Sportivo Luqueño is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sportivo Luqueño could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Tacuary have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Tacuary won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10:14 (average 0.9:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Tacuary won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:5 (average 1.2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tacuary
Paraguayan Primera Division
06.10.24	2 de Mayo - Tacuary	2:1 ✺
27.09.24	Tacuary - Sportivo Ameliano	0:2 ✺
22.09.24	Libertad Asuncion - Tacuary	1:0 ✺
Copa Paraguay
19.09.24	Encarnación - Tacuary	1:0 penalties ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
16.09.24	Sportivo Trinidense - Tacuary	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLLLW
- Sportivo Luqueño
Paraguayan Primera Division
05.10.24	Sportivo Luqueño - Cerro Porteño	1:0 ✺
Copa Paraguay
01.10.24	Sportivo Trinidense - Sportivo Luqueño	2:3 penalties ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
28.09.24	Sol de América - Sportivo Luqueño	1:1 ✺
23.09.24	Sportivo Luqueño - General Caballero JLM	1:1 ✺
15.09.24	Olimpia Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
08.08.24	Sportivo Luqueño - Tacuary	1:1
27.04.24	Sportivo Luqueño - Tacuary	1:2
03.02.24	Tacuary - Sportivo Luqueño	1:1
23.11.23	Tacuary - Sportivo Luqueño	1:1
10.09.23	Sportivo Luqueño - Tacuary	3:1
30.05.23	Tacuary - Sportivo Luqueño	3:1
26.03.23	Sportivo Luqueño - Tacuary	2:0

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