Match Info

Date: 10 July 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Sportivo Peñarol		Cipolletti

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.95	3.4
	2.15	2.8	3.5
	2.12	2.9	3.45
	2.2	2.59	3.79
	2.1	2.8	3.6
	2.21	2.97	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (1.83)	2.84 ↓ (3.08)	3.52 ↓ (4.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportivo Peñarol
42.3%

Draw
31.9%

Cipolletti
25.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49%

29.1%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

27.8%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportivo Peñarol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sportivo Peñarol's form might have worsened.

Cipolletti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Peñarol than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sportivo Peñarol, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cipolletti than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	36.4%	18.2%

Sportivo Peñarol - Cipolletti Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Sportivo Peñarol will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Cipolletti will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sportivo Peñarol: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sportivo Peñarol won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Cipolletti could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Sportivo Peñarol will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Sportivo Peñarol won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Sportivo Peñarol won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportivo Peñarol
Argentinian Torneo Federal
03.07.22	Sportivo Peñarol - Villa Mitre	0:1 ✺
26.06.22	Ciudad de Bolívar - Sportivo Peñarol	1:1 ✺
22.06.22	Sportivo Peñarol - Sansinena	2:1 ✺
18.06.22	Huracán Las Heras - Sportivo Peñarol	0:0 ✺
05.06.22	Sportivo Peñarol - Ferro Gen.Pico	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LTWTW
- Club Cipolletti
Argentinian Torneo Federal
03.07.22	Ferro Gen.Pico - Cipolletti	0:0 ✺
22.06.22	CA Liniers - Cipolletti	2:1 ✺
18.06.22	Cipolletti - Círculo Deportivo	4:2 ✺
12.06.22	Argentino Monte Maíz - Cipolletti	1:0 ✺
05.06.22	Cipolletti - Sol de Mayo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
27.03.22	Cipolletti - Sportivo Peñarol	1:1
15.08.21	Sportivo Peñarol - Cipolletti	2:1
18.04.21	Cipolletti - Sportivo Peñarol	3:0
03.01.21	Sportivo Peñarol - Cipolletti	1:1
03.02.20	Sportivo Peñarol - Cipolletti	2:2
08.09.19	Cipolletti - Sportivo Peñarol	2:2

Sportivo Peñarol - Cipolletti