Match Info

Date: 20 July 2022, Wednesday


	Sportivo Peñarol		Deportivo Camioneros

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.8	3.1
	2.4	2.5	3.35
	2.27	2.8	3.15
	2.37	2.64	3.22
	2.4	2.75	3
	2.4	2.67	3.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (2.24)	2.69 ↑ (2.55)	3.2 ↓ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportivo Peñarol
38.4%

Draw
33.5%

Deportivo Camioneros
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

34.8%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

33.2%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportivo Peñarol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Deportivo Camioneros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Peñarol than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Camioneros than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
19%	71.4%	9.5%

Sportivo Peñarol - Deportivo Camioneros Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Sportivo Peñarol will win (votes: 4 - 19%). Deportivo Camioneros will win (votes: 2 - 9.5%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 71.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 52.1% – 90.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 and 9).

Recent matches Sportivo Peñarol is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Deportivo Camioneros is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Sportivo Peñarol will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sportivo Peñarol won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Sportivo Peñarol won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportivo Peñarol
Argentinian Torneo Federal
16.07.22	Desamparados - Sportivo Peñarol	0:0 ✺
10.07.22	Sportivo Peñarol - Cipolletti	1:2 ✺
03.07.22	Sportivo Peñarol - Villa Mitre	0:1 ✺
26.06.22	Ciudad de Bolívar - Sportivo Peñarol	1:1 ✺
22.06.22	Sportivo Peñarol - Sansinena	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TLLTW
- Deportivo Camioneros
Argentinian Torneo Federal
16.07.22	Deportivo Camioneros - Ferro Gen.Pico	0:0 ✺
10.07.22	Juventud Unida Universitario - Deportivo Camioneros	1:0 ✺
03.07.22	CA Liniers - Deportivo Camioneros	3:3 ✺
26.06.22	Deportivo Camioneros - Círculo Deportivo	0:1 ✺
22.06.22	Argentino Monte Maíz - Deportivo Camioneros	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
09.04.22	Deportivo Camioneros - Sportivo Peñarol	2:1
25.09.21	Deportivo Camioneros - Sportivo Peñarol	0:3
27.06.21	Sportivo Peñarol - Deportivo Camioneros	1:0
19.12.20	Sportivo Peñarol - Deportivo Camioneros	0:1
01.12.19	Sportivo Peñarol - Deportivo Camioneros	0:0

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