Match Info

ARGENTINA: TORNEO FEDERAL - ROUND 35

Date: 14 October 2023, Saturday


	Sportivo Peñarol		Huracán Las Heras

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.2	1.93
	3.75	3.3	1.9	Watch
	3.63	3.54	1.93
	3.52	3.28	1.95
	3.65	3.35	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.59 ↑ (2.88)	3.33 ↑ (2.95)	1.92 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportivo Peñarol
25.4%

Draw
27.3%

Huracán Las Heras
47.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.7%

31%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6%

30.9%

37.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportivo Peñarol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sportivo Peñarol's form might have worsened.

Huracán Las Heras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Huracán Las Heras's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Peñarol than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sportivo Peñarol, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Huracán Las Heras than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Huracán Las Heras, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Sportivo Peñarol - Huracán Las Heras Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Sportivo Peñarol will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Huracán Las Heras will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sportivo Peñarol won 2.

Sportivo Peñarol is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Huracán Las Heras is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Huracán Las Heras could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Huracán Las Heras will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Sportivo Peñarol won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Sportivo Peñarol won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportivo Peñarol
Argentinian Torneo Federal
08.10.23	San Martín de Mendoza - Sportivo Peñarol	4:1 ✺
29.09.23	Sportivo Peñarol - Juventud Unida Universitario	2:1 ✺
17.09.23	Ciudad de Bolívar - Sportivo Peñarol	3:0 ✺
13.09.23	Sportivo Peñarol - Argentino Monte Maíz	0:0 ✺
08.09.23	Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis - Sportivo Peñarol	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LWLTL
- Huracán Las Heras
Argentinian Torneo Federal
08.10.23	Huracán Las Heras - Ciudad de Bolívar	0:3 ✺
30.09.23	Argentino Monte Maíz - Huracán Las Heras	2:0 ✺
22.09.23	Huracán Las Heras - Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis	1:0 ✺
17.09.23	Ferro Gen.Pico - Huracán Las Heras	0:0 ✺
13.09.23	Huracán Las Heras - Atenas Río Cuarto	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
20.08.23	Huracán Las Heras - Sportivo Peñarol	1:0
24.06.23	Sportivo Peñarol - Huracán Las Heras	2:0
30.04.23	Huracán Las Heras - Sportivo Peñarol	2:1
25.09.22	Sportivo Peñarol - Huracán Las Heras	1:0
18.06.22	Huracán Las Heras - Sportivo Peñarol	0:0
29.09.21	Sportivo Peñarol - Huracán Las Heras	4:3
03.07.21	Huracán Las Heras - Sportivo Peñarol	2:2

Sportivo Peñarol - Huracán Las Heras: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide