Match Info

Division Intermedia - Round 23

Date: 21 August 2025, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Paraguay	Tigo Sports+


	Sportivo San Lorenzo		Guaireña

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.9	3.4	Watch
	2.18	3	3.1
	2.1	3.04	3.33
	1.98	3.13	3.98	Watch
	1.99	3.23	3.9
	1.83	3.45	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.83)	3.13 ↓ (3.45)	3.65 ↓ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportivo San Lorenzo
45.4%

Draw
29.4%

Guaireña
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.9%

27%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

26.2%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportivo San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sportivo San Lorenzo's form might have worsened.

Guaireña has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sportivo San Lorenzo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guaireña than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Sportivo San Lorenzo - Guaireña Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Sportivo San Lorenzo will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sportivo San Lorenzo: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Sportivo San Lorenzo (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Sportivo San Lorenzo (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Sportivo San Lorenzo (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, Riquelme W. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
61', 1 - 1, Ovejero M. ⚽,
63', Gonzalez C. 🟥,
90+2', 2 - 1, Duarte J. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 and 10).

Now, both teams are in good form.

In this match, Sportivo San Lorenzo is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sportivo San Lorenzo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Including home match between the teams, Sportivo San Lorenzo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportivo San Lorenzo
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
16.08.25	Guarani de Fram - Sportivo San Lorenzo	1:2 ✺
11.08.25	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Sportivo Carapeguá	4:0 ✺
04.08.25	River Plate Asunción - Sportivo San Lorenzo	1:1 ✺
28.07.25	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Independiente Asuncion	3:1 ✺
20.07.25	Rubio Ñu - Sportivo San Lorenzo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWTWL
- Guaireña FC
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
17.08.25	Sportivo Carapeguá - Guaireña	3:3 ✺
09.08.25	Guaireña - Independiente Asuncion	4:2 ✺
02.08.25	Sol de América - Guaireña	1:3 ✺
25.07.25	Guaireña - Fernando de la Mora	5:2 ✺
21.07.25	Encarnación - Guaireña	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Division Intermedia
13.05.25	Guaireña - Sportivo San Lorenzo	0:2
19.07.24	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Guaireña	0:0

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