Match Info

Division Intermedia - Round 21

Date: 11 August 2025, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Paraguay	Tigo Sports+


	Sportivo San Lorenzo		Sportivo Carapeguá

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.1	3.3
	2.04	3.04	3.3
	1.56	3.98	5.45	Watch
	2.06	3.13	3.41
	2.06	3.16	3.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.07)	3.28 ↑ (3.2)	3.77 ↑ (3.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportivo San Lorenzo
47.3%

Draw
28.2%

Sportivo Carapeguá
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

28.6%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

28.1%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportivo San Lorenzo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Sportivo Carapeguá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Carapeguá than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	55.6%	22.2%

Sportivo San Lorenzo - Sportivo Carapeguá Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Sportivo San Lorenzo will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Carapeguá will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Sportivo San Lorenzo (votes: 2 - 50%). Carapeguá (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, Oviedo A. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
75', 2 - 0, Alvarez Benitez P. ⚽,
77', 3 - 0, Alvarez Benitez P. ⚽,
89', 4 - 0, Medina C. ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 and 6).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Sportivo San Lorenzo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Sportivo San Lorenzo might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Sportivo San Lorenzo won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:6. (average 0:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Sportivo San Lorenzo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportivo San Lorenzo
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
04.08.25	River Plate Asunción - Sportivo San Lorenzo	1:1 ✺
28.07.25	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Independiente Asuncion	3:1 ✺
20.07.25	Rubio Ñu - Sportivo San Lorenzo	2:1 ✺
14.07.25	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Sol de América	0:0 ✺
06.07.25	Pastoreo - Sportivo San Lorenzo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TWLTW
- Sportivo Carapeguá
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
03.08.25	Independiente Asuncion - Sportivo Carapeguá	3:3 ✺
28.07.25	Sportivo Carapeguá - Sol de América	1:5 ✺
18.07.25	Fernando de la Mora - Sportivo Carapeguá	3:2 ✺
13.07.25	Sportivo Carapeguá - Encarnación	2:1 ✺
04.07.25	12 de Junio - Sportivo Carapeguá	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Division Intermedia
03.05.25	Sportivo Carapeguá - Sportivo San Lorenzo	2:0
24.08.24	Sportivo Carapeguá - Sportivo San Lorenzo	4:0
07.10.23	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Sportivo Carapeguá	0:0
02.07.23	Sportivo Carapeguá - Sportivo San Lorenzo	0:0

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