Match Info

Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 18

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Gunther Vogel (San Lorenzo)

Referee: Benitez J. (Par)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports
Paraguay	Tigo Sports
Usa	Fanatiz


	Sportivo San Lorenzo		Rubio Ñu

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.9	2.6	Watch
	2.55	2.95	2.55
	2.68	2.98	2.62
	2.85	2.9	2.9
	2.78	2.9	2.78	Watch
	2.75	2.8	2.7
	2.78	2.83	2.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↓ (2.78)	2.89 ↓ (2.95)	2.71 ↑ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportivo San Lorenzo
34.1%

Draw
31.9%

Rubio Ñu
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

31.6%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

30.4%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportivo San Lorenzo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Rubio Ñu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rubio Ñu than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Sportivo San Lorenzo - Rubio Ñu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cristoforo F. (G) 29. Garcia M. 24. Aguero M. 19. Caceres L. (C) 20. Meza Montiel D. 15. Pinatares B. 26. Duarte J. 6. Villamayor H. 11. Torres I. 30. Galeano A. 9. Barrios J.	25. Fragueda F. (G) 13. Cabanas V. 31. Blasi B. 3. Vallejos J. 36. Gimenez C. 15. Cardozo Lucena A. (C) 20. Martinez F. 2. Ferreira R. 8. Rojas R. 35. Montiel L. 40. Perez E.
Substitutes
16. Cespedes V. 35. Colman C. 4. Doldan J. 2. Esteche L. 21. Gonzalez H. 17. Jara T. 13. Lopez M. 33. Olazar R. (G) 28. Oviedo A. 36. Paez A. 5. Paredes T. 8. Quinonez A.	33. Alborno R. 29. Alfonso O. 5. Alvarez Benitez P. 30. Ayala P. 1. Canteros T. (G) 11. Gimenez Delgado J. J. 4. Gonzalez J. 28. Leguizamon A. 38. Manzur G. 10. Mendieta W. 37. Roldan M. 18. Villagra C.
Coaches
Caceres J. C.	Gimenez F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Martinez F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Barrios J. ↓, Paez A. ↑,
57', Ferreira R. ↓, Leguizamon A. ↑,
57', Montiel L. ↓, Alborno R. ↑,
60', Cabanas V. 🟨,
68', Duarte J. ↓, Esteche L. ↑,
68', Martinez F. ↓, Mendieta W. ↑,
76', 0 - 1, Cardozo Lucena A. ⚽, Mendieta W. (A),
77', Rojas R. 🟨,
80', Villamayor H. ↓, Quinonez A. ↑,
80', Galeano A. ↓, Cespedes V. ↑,
80', Torres I. ↓, Colman C. ↑,
81', Mendieta W. ↓, Manzur G. ↑,
82', Gimenez C. ↓, Alvarez Benitez P. ↑,
85', Meza Montiel D. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sportivo San Lorenzo won 2.

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Rubio Ñu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Sportivo San Lorenzo won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.7:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Sportivo San Lorenzo won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 2.3:1).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Rubio Nu	13	3	3	7	15:24	-9	12
12	San Lorenzo	13	0	3	10	4:22	-18	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportivo San Lorenzo
Paraguayan Primera Division
17.04.26	Sportivo Trinidense - Sportivo San Lorenzo	2:1 ✺
10.04.26	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Guaraní Asuncion	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	Deportivo Recoleta - Sportivo San Lorenzo	4:2 ✺
31.03.26	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Sportivo Ameliano	1:2 ✺
28.03.26	Cerro Porteño - Sportivo San Lorenzo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWLLL
- Rubio Ñu
Paraguayan Primera Division
21.04.26	Rubio Ñu - Libertad Asuncion	3:0 ✺
12.04.26	Rubio Ñu - Olimpia Asuncion	0:2 ✺
06.04.26	Sportivo Trinidense - Rubio Ñu	4:0 ✺
01.04.26	Rubio Ñu - Guaraní Asuncion	0:2 ✺
26.03.26	Deportivo Recoleta - Rubio Ñu	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
26.02.26	Rubio Ñu - Sportivo San Lorenzo	2:0
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
20.07.25	Rubio Ñu - Sportivo San Lorenzo	2:1
14.04.25	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Rubio Ñu	0:1
02.09.24	Rubio Ñu - Sportivo San Lorenzo	0:1
28.05.24	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Rubio Ñu	3:2
29.09.23	Rubio Ñu - Sportivo San Lorenzo	0:3
25.06.23	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Rubio Ñu	2:0

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