Match Info

Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 7

Date: 28 August 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Lic. Erico Galeano Segovia (Capiatá)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Sportivo San Lorenzo		Nacional Asuncion

	1	X	2
	4.00	3.20	1.80	Watch
	4.10	3.10	1.80
	4.60	3.30	1.76	Watch
	4.86	3.49	1.84
	4.07	3.35	1.92	Watch
	4.75	3.45	1.76
	4.40	3.34	1.84	Watch
	4.10	3.15	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.36 ↓ (4.5)	3.3 (3.3)	1.81 ↑ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportivo San Lorenzo
21.2%

Draw
28%

Nacional Asuncion
50.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.4%

27.8%

51.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.1%

27.3%

52.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportivo San Lorenzo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Nacional Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Asuncion than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Sportivo San Lorenzo - Nacional Asuncion Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - Sportivo San Lorenzo (1.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sportivo San Lorenzo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Franco L. (G) 29. Garcia M. 16. Benitez A. 4. Doldan J. (C) 13. Fretes I. 22. Ferreira Gonzalez K. 14. Salcedo J. 21. Gonzalez H. 26. Duarte J. 7. Ferreira M. 9. Barrios J.	30. Rojas S. (G) 21. Feliu J. 22. Melgarejo R. 4. Gutierrez T. 29. Vargas S. 15. Cardozo Lucena A. 33. Gaona Lugo O. (C) 8. Jara F. 13. Meza L. 18. Valdez I. 9. Benitez H. A.
Substitutes
24. Aguero M. 18. Alvarez A. 8. Amarilla R. 32. Aragon F. 2. Esteche L. 34. Gamarra O. 28. Gerzel G. 20. Meza Montiel D. 27. Ortiz E. 15. Pinatares B. 12. Quinonez W. (G) 11. Torres I.	20. Arguello R. 7. Bailone I. 5. Benitez G. 10. Colman Escobar D. J. 23. Espinola C. 19. Gonzales L. 1. Ortiz G. (G) 27. Prieto R. 32. Pumpido F. 28. Samudio A. 17. Santacruz Rodas J. F. 38. Vega T.
Coaches
Duarte T. D.	Bernay V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
1', Doldan J. 🟨,
8', Melgarejo R. 🟨,
45+3', 0 - 1, Valdez I. ⚽, Benitez H. A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
63', Duarte J. ↓, Gerzel G. ↑,
63', Barrios J. ↓, Alvarez A. ↑,
64', Salcedo J. ↓, Aragon F. ↑,
68', Valdez I. ↓, Bailone I. ↑,
68', Jara F. ↓, Prieto R. ↑,
80', Benitez H. A. ↓, Colman Escobar D. J. ↑,
80', Meza L. ↓, Santacruz Rodas J. F. ↑,
80', Ferreira M. ↓, Torres I. ↑,
87', Ferreira Gonzalez K. ↓, Ortiz E. ↑,
90', 0 - 2, Bailone I. ⚽, Gaona Lugo O. (A),
90', Gaona Lugo O. ↓, Benitez G. ↑,
90+4', 0 - 3, Benitez G. ⚽, Bailone I. (A),

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 12 and 4).

Sportivo San Lorenzo is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Nacional has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Sportivo San Lorenzo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Sportivo San Lorenzo has had a series of away games.

In this match, Nacional is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sportivo San Lorenzo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Sportivo San Lorenzo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Nacional Asuncion	13	6	5	2	20:8	12	23
12	San Lorenzo	13	0	3	10	4:22	-18	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportivo San Lorenzo
Paraguayan Primera Division
24.08.26	Libertad Asuncion - Sportivo San Lorenzo	1:0 ✺
16.08.26	Cerro Porteño - Sportivo San Lorenzo	1:0 ✺
Copa Paraguay
12.08.26	29 de Setiembre - Sportivo San Lorenzo	1:2 penalties ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
09.08.26	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Sportivo Luqueño	0:2 ✺
03.08.26	Sportivo Trinidense - Sportivo San Lorenzo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLWLL
- Nacional Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
24.08.26	Nacional Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño	2:0 ✺
Copa Paraguay
18.08.26	Benjamín Aceval - Nacional Asuncion	0:2 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
15.08.26	Sportivo Trinidense - Nacional Asuncion	1:1 ✺
09.08.26	Nacional Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion	0:0 ✺
03.08.26	Deportivo Recoleta - Nacional Asuncion	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
22.03.26	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Nacional Asuncion	0:0
24.01.26	Nacional Asuncion - Sportivo San Lorenzo	1:0

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