Match Info

Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 6

Date: 24 August 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Tigo La Huerta (Asunción)

Referee: Benitez C. (Par)


	Libertad Asuncion		Sportivo San Lorenzo

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.33	7.5	Watch
	1.35	4.40	7.00
	1.37	4.25	7.2	Watch
	1.35	4.97	8.9
	1.38	4.64	8.12	Watch
	1.33	4.9	8.5
	1.35	4.67	8.6	Watch
	1.32	4.5	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.38)	4.58 ↓ (4.65)	7.9 ↑ (7.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Libertad Asuncion
68.3%

Draw
20.1%

Sportivo San Lorenzo
11.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.6%

20.1%

12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.2%

19.1%

11.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Libertad Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Sportivo San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Asuncion than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Libertad Asuncion - Sportivo San Lorenzo Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Libertad will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Morinigo Acosta R. M. (G) 2. Benitez A. 3. Rojas R. 23. Freire N. 4. Gimenez N. 11. Vera E. 6. Campuzano A. (C) 8. Carrizo F. 28. Fernandez M. 32. Nequecaur L. 9. Aguilar G.	31. Franco L. (G) 2. Esteche L. 5. Paredes T. 4. Doldan J. 13. Fretes I. 22. Ferreira Gonzalez K. 16. Benitez A. 21. Gonzalez H. 11. Torres I. (C) 7. Ferreira M. 9. Barrios J.
Substitutes
35. Diaz E. 14. Fretes A. 33. Martinez C. 27. Molinas A. 26. Ramirez I. 29. Rojas V. (G) 21. Sanabria L. 15. Vera T. 34. Villalba E. 24. Villalba R.	24. Aguero M. 18. Alvarez A. 8. Amarilla R. 32. Aragon F. 26. Duarte J. 34. Gamarra O. 29. Garcia M. 28. Gerzel G. 27. Ortiz E. 15. Pinatares B. 12. Quinonez W. (G) 14. Salcedo J.
Coaches
Valdez N.	Duarte T. D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 1 - 0, Fernandez M. ⚽, Gimenez N. (A),
58', Paredes T. 🟨,
61', Fernandez M. ↓, Villalba R. ↑,
61', Nequecaur L. ↓, Ramirez I. ↑,
65', Barrios J. ↓, Alvarez A. ↑,
65', Torres I. ↓, Amarilla R. ↑,
72', Vera E. ↓, Fretes A. ↑,
72', Aguilar G. ↓, Sanabria L. ↑,
75', Ferreira Gonzalez K. ↓, Duarte J. ↑,
75', Gonzalez H. ↓, Salcedo J. ↑,
83', Ferreira M. ↓, Gerzel G. ↑,
85', Carrizo F. ↓, Martinez C. ↑,
89', Benitez A. 🟨,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 and 12).

Libertad is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Sportivo San Lorenzo's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Sportivo San Lorenzo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Libertad is the obvious favorite.

We predict that Libertad will win today's game, with odds of 1.36.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:2. (average 4:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Libertad won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0.

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Libertad Asuncion	13	8	2	3	21:14	7	26
12	San Lorenzo	13	0	3	10	4:22	-18	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Libertad Asuncion
Copa Paraguay
20.08.26	Tacuary - Libertad Asuncion	0:1 penalties ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
16.08.26	Sportivo Luqueño - Libertad Asuncion	1:2 ✺
10.08.26	Libertad Asuncion - Sportivo Trinidense	2:1 ✺
02.08.26	Guaraní Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion	2:1 ✺
30.07.26	Libertad Asuncion - Deportivo Recoleta	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWLW
- Sportivo San Lorenzo
Paraguayan Primera Division
16.08.26	Cerro Porteño - Sportivo San Lorenzo	1:0 ✺
Copa Paraguay
12.08.26	29 de Setiembre - Sportivo San Lorenzo	1:2 penalties ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
09.08.26	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Sportivo Luqueño	0:2 ✺
03.08.26	Sportivo Trinidense - Sportivo San Lorenzo	3:0 ✺
30.07.26	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Guaraní Asuncion	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
01.05.26	Libertad Asuncion - Sportivo San Lorenzo	5:0
02.03.26	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Libertad Asuncion	0:7
Copa Paraguay
20.09.23	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Libertad Asuncion	1:2
27.07.22	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Libertad Asuncion	1:2

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