Match Info

Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 21

Date: 20 November 2025, Thursday

Location: Estadio Martín Torres (Asunción)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports
Paraguay	Tigo Sports
Usa	Fanatiz


	Sportivo Trinidense		Atlético Tembetary

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.1	4.1	Watch
				Watch
	1.95	3.15	3.85
	1.5	4.04	6.12
	1.50	4.15	6.09	Watch
	1.97	3.22	3.97	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.48)	3.53 ↓ (3.7)	4.83 ↓ (6.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportivo Trinidense
53.9%

Draw
26.6%

Atlético Tembetary
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.1%

24.4%

14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.2%

23.6%

14%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportivo Trinidense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sportivo Trinidense's form might have worsened.

Atlético Tembetary has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Trinidense than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sportivo Trinidense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Tembetary than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Tembetary, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	18.7%	18.7%

Sportivo Trinidense - Atlético Tembetary Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Sportivo Trinidense will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Tembetary will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sportivo Trinidense: 35.2% – 84.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sportivo Trinidense (votes: 1 - 50%). Tembetary (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Sportivo Trinidense (1.63) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Sportivo Trinidense (votes: 3 - 75%). Tembetary (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dufour M. (G) 15. Canete A. 40. Da Silveira A. 26. Centurion M. 4. Melgarejo D. 30. Zarza P. 8. De la Cruz L. (C) 21. Viera G. 29. Rayer T. 19. Cano Esteche A. B. 7. Camacho N.	1. Canteros T. (G) 22. Barrios V. 5. Marotta N. 3. Olmedo S. 17. Alonso W. 6. Colman D. 40. Zarate D. 18. Rojas R. 32. Diaz J. 30. Cristaldo A. 11. Charpentier P.
Substitutes
31. Ayala M. 22. Esteche L. 20. Gaona M. 9. Gimenez O. 28. Leguizamon B. 32. Martinez C. 14. Mendoza S. 16. Notario A. 24. Olmedo L. 13. Salcedo J. 12. Samudio V. (G) 3. Villalba D.	29. Amarilla J. 31. Barreto O. 2. Caceres L. 10. Candia W. 39. Duarte J. 14. Esteche J. F. 8. Ferreira E. 20. Gomez A. 28. Mercado C. 24. Ortiz I. 27. Peralta F. (G) 36. Toledo J.
Coaches
Arrua J.	Escobar L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Camacho N. ⚽, Cano Esteche A. B. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', Zarate D. 🟨,
55', Zarate D. ↓, Esteche J. F. ↑,
57', Cano Esteche A. B. ↓, Salcedo J. ↑,
64', Cristaldo A. ↓, Gomez A. ↑,
65', Colman D. ↓, Ortiz I. ↑,
67', Zarza P. ↓, Gaona M. ↑,
67', Gaona M. 🟨,
75', Diaz J. 🟨,
87', 1 - 1, Charpentier P. (Pen),
87', Camacho N. ↓, Gimenez O. ↑,
87', Melgarejo D. ↓, Mendoza S. ↑,
88', Rojas R. ↓, Candia W. ↑,
88', Alonso W. ↓, Toledo J. ↑,
90', Centurion M. ↓, Leguizamon B. ↑,
90+4', Villalba D. 🟨,
90+6', Charpentier P. (Pen),

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 5 and 12).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Sportivo Trinidense is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Trinidense won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).

Including home match between the teams, Sportivo Trinidense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportivo Trinidense
Paraguayan Primera Division
09.11.25	Sportivo Trinidense - Cerro Porteño	0:0 ✺
01.11.25	Nacional Asuncion - Sportivo Trinidense	0:0 ✺
25.10.25	Sportivo Trinidense - 2 de Mayo	2:1 ✺
17.10.25	Sportivo Luqueño - Sportivo Trinidense	1:0 ✺
10.10.25	Sportivo Trinidense - General Caballero JLM	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TTWLW
- Atlético Tembetary
Paraguayan Primera Division
10.11.25	Atlético Tembetary - Nacional Asuncion	0:2 ✺
31.10.25	2 de Mayo - Atlético Tembetary	0:1 ✺
25.10.25	Atlético Tembetary - Sportivo Luqueño	1:1 ✺
Copa Paraguay
21.10.25	Atlético Tembetary - 2 de Mayo	0:2 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
16.10.25	General Caballero JLM - Atlético Tembetary	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
29.08.25	Atlético Tembetary - Sportivo Trinidense	3:0
10.04.25	Sportivo Trinidense - Atlético Tembetary	1:1
28.01.25	Atlético Tembetary - Sportivo Trinidense	2:2

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