The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sportivo San Lorenzo 11.6%
Draw 20.3%
Sportivo Trinidense 68.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
20.5%
26.2%
53.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20%
25.5%
54.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sportivo San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sportivo San Lorenzo's form might have worsened.
Sportivo Trinidense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sportivo Trinidense's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sportivo San Lorenzo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Trinidense than the current prediction. (-13.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sportivo Trinidense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
25%
75%
Sportivo San Lorenzo - Sportivo Trinidense Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Sportivo Trinidense will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Franco L. (G) 24. Aguero M. 5. Paredes T. 21. Gonzalez H. 13. Fretes I. 22. Ferreira Gonzalez K. 6. Villamayor H. 15. Pinatares B. (C) 25. Fernandez K. 9. Barrios J. 8. Amarilla R.
12. Samudio V. (G) 23. Benitez C. 40. Da Silveira A. 6. Canete A. 4. Melgarejo D. 5. Gauto N. 22. Gamarra J. 21. Viera G. 29. Rayer T. 31. Morinigo A. 7. Camacho N. (C)
Substitutes
32. Aragon F. 16. Benitez A. 39. Cohener L. 35. Colman C. 4. Doldan J. 26. Duarte J. 28. Gerzel G. 20. Meza Montiel D. 27. Ortiz E. 12. Quinonez W. (G) 7. Salcedo S. 37. Salcedo S.
11. Abreu L. 13. Barone F. 24. Baruja F. 1. Dufour M. (G) 9. Gimenez O. 20. Gonzalez C. 37. Gonzalez L. 28. Leguizamon B. 10. Mana N. 14. Mendoza S. 17. Roman J. 3. Villalba D.
Coaches
Fornasari P.
Arrua J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
21', Camacho N. 🟨,
25', 1 - 0, Barrios J. (Penalty Awarded),
27', Barrios J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Gamarra J. ↓, Mana N. ↑,
46', Rayer T. ↓, Abreu L. ↑,
60', Amarilla R. ↓, Benitez A. ↑,
60', Ferreira Gonzalez K. ↓, Gerzel G. ↑,
61', Camacho N. ↓, Gonzalez C. ↑,
61', Benitez C. ↓, Baruja F. ↑,
68', Morinigo A. ↓, Gimenez O. ↑,
72', Fernandez K. ↓, Ortiz E. ↑,
72', Fretes I. ↓, Meza Montiel D. ↑,
77', Baruja F. 🟨,
89', Gerzel G. 🟨,
90', Villamayor H. ↓, Doldan J. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 1, Viera G. ⚽,
90+6', Da Silveira A. 🟨,
Preview
Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 12th and 5th).
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
Recently, Sportivo Trinidense has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
Bookmakers give the edge to Sportivo Trinidense for this game.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Sportivo San Lorenzo has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:8 (averaging 1:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Sportivo San Lorenzo against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 4:1 goals (averaging 2:0.5 per game).
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Franco L. (G) 
Pinatares B. (C) 
Rayer T. 
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