Match Info

Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 11

Date: 18 September 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Martín Torres (Asunción)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports
Paraguay	Tigo Sports
Usa	Fanatiz


	Sportivo Trinidense		Guaraní Asuncion

	1	X	2
	2.30	3.00	2.90	Watch
	2.20	3.10	2.90
	2.20	3.15	3.15	Watch
	2.54	3.19	3.03
	2.22	3.18	3.34	Watch
	2.45	3.15	2.95
	2.39	3.12	3.02	Watch
	2.23	3.05	2.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.2)	3.12 ↓ (3.15)	3.02 ↓ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Sportivo Trinidense
39.9%

Draw
29.6%

Guaraní Asuncion
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

28.6%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportivo Trinidense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Guaraní Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Trinidense than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Sportivo Trinidense - Guaraní Asuncion Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Samudio V. (G) 6. Canete A. 40. Da Silveira A. 3. Villalba D. 14. Mendoza S. 29. Rayer T. 21. Viera G. (C) 5. Gauto N. 31. Morinigo A. 20. Gonzalez C. 11. Abreu L.	31. Martinez M. (G) 4. Mendez A. 2. Segovia I. 33. Allende L. 15. Servin T. 36. Martinez L. (C) 10. Anasco M. 21. Arrua C. 8. Lopez M. 26. Fernandez D. 11. Garcia J.
Substitutes
13. Barone F. 24. Baruja F. 39. Bogado P. 7. Camacho N. 19. Cano Esteche A. B. 1. Dufour M. (G) 9. Gimenez O. 37. Gonzalez L. 16. Marcelino J. 4. Melgarejo D. 17. Roman J. 34. Roman Torales F. J.	17. Cespedes V. 38. Coronel P. 40. Fernandez F. 19. Ibarra A. 23. Jacquet M. 29. Llano J. 13. Martinez A. (G) 20. Quinonez R. 9. Recalde J. 14. Rodriguez Echeverria R. O. 39. Rolon C. 22. Velazquez J.
Coaches
Arrua J.	Arce F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Abreu L. 🟥,
35', Gonzalez C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Arrua C. ↓, Fernandez F. ↑,
59', Rayer T. ↓, Roman J. ↑,
61', Anasco M. ↓, Cespedes V. ↑,
61', Garcia J. ↓, Recalde J. ↑,
65', Gonzalez C. ↓, Camacho N. ↑,
65', Mendoza S. ↓, Melgarejo D. ↑,
73', Morinigo A. ↓, Barone F. ↑,
73', Gauto N. ↓, Gonzalez L. ↑,
73', Martinez L. ↓, Llano J. ↑,
77', Fernandez D. ↓, Coronel P. ↑,
82', 0 - 1, Fernandez F. ⚽, Llano J. (A),
90', Llano J. 🟨,

Preview

A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 5th and 8th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Trinidense won 1.

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 19 head-to-head meetings, Sportivo Trinidense has recorded 7 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 22:19 (averaging 1.2:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Sportivo Trinidense against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, with 9:11 goals (averaging 0.9:1.1 per game).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Sportivo Trinidense	13	7	2	4	23:13	10	23
6	Guarani	13	5	6	2	14:10	4	21

Last Results with these Odds

Sportivo Trinidense - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 41.72%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportivo Trinidense
Paraguayan Primera Division
12.09.26	Deportivo Recoleta - Sportivo Trinidense	1:3 ✺
06.09.26	Sportivo Trinidense - Olimpia Asuncion	1:2 ✺
02.09.26	Sportivo Ameliano - Sportivo Trinidense	0:3 ✺
29.08.26	Sportivo Trinidense - 2 de Mayo	0:1 ✺
Copa Paraguay
25.08.26	Sol de América - Sportivo Trinidense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLWLL
- Guaraní Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
12.09.26	Guaraní Asuncion - Cerro Porteño	1:1 ✺
07.09.26	Guaraní Asuncion - Deportivo Recoleta	2:0 ✺
02.09.26	Olimpia Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion	1:1 ✺
30.08.26	Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Ameliano	1:1 ✺
25.08.26	2 de Mayo - Guaraní Asuncion	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
29.03.26	Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Trinidense	0:0
29.01.26	Sportivo Trinidense - Guaraní Asuncion	0:0
26.09.25	Sportivo Trinidense - Guaraní Asuncion	1:1
20.07.25	Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Trinidense	0:0
01.06.25	Sportivo Trinidense - Guaraní Asuncion	2:1
27.03.25	Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Trinidense	1:3
27.09.24	Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Trinidense	0:0

Upcoming Matches