Match Info

Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 9

Date: 7 September 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Rogelio Livieres (Asunción)

Referee: Romero B. (Par)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Guaraní Asuncion		Deportivo Recoleta

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.4	3.7	Watch
	1.80	3.40	3.75
	1.88	3.35	3.75	Watch
	1.95	3.7	4.14
	2	3.55	3.56	Watch
	1.87	3.6	3.95
	1.86	3.51	4.02	Watch
	1.85	3.3	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.85)	3.48 ↓ (3.5)	3.81 ↑ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guaraní Asuncion
49.1%

Draw
26.6%

Deportivo Recoleta
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.6%

26.2%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

21.6%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guaraní Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Deportivo Recoleta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guaraní Asuncion that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Recoleta than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Recoleta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Guaraní Asuncion - Deportivo Recoleta Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Guaraní will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Martinez M. (G) 4. Mendez A. 2. Segovia I. 15. Servin T. 33. Allende L. 5. Tanda P. 8. Lopez M. 36. Martinez L. (C) 21. Arrua C. 38. Coronel P. 11. Garcia J.	1. Marsengo A. (G) 2. Echeguren Zarza F. A. 5. Marotta N. 4. Pereira M. 32. Monzon L. 17. Baez W. (C) 38. Franco A. 6. Espinola J. 33. Gonzalez A. 11. Parzajuk K. 30. Charpentier P.
Substitutes
10. Anasco M. 17. Cespedes V. 12. Dionisi G. (G) 26. Fernandez D. 40. Fernandez F. 25. Gomez G. 35. Gonzalez P. 23. Jacquet M. 29. Llano J. 9. Recalde J. 14. Rodriguez Echeverria R. O. 39. Rolon C.	3. Cardozo L. 37. Falcon J. 21. Garay C. 15. Medina B. 25. Mosquera D. 23. Nunez J. 9. Ortiz R. 18. Rios P. 31. Schupp M. 10. Silva A. 13. Toledo O. (G) 24. Vidal T.
Coaches
Arce F.	Gonzalez J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Garcia J. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Parzajuk K. ↓, Rios P. ↑,
46', Marotta N. ↓, Mosquera D. ↑,
67', Coronel P. ↓, Fernandez D. ↑,
67', Espinola J. ↓, Silva A. ↑,
67', Charpentier P. ↓, Ortiz R. ↑,
67', Arrua C. ↓, Cespedes V. ↑,
77', Garcia J. ↓, Recalde J. ↑,
82', 2 - 0, Servin T. ⚽,
86', Lopez M. ↓, Llano J. ↑,
86', Mendez A. ↓, Rodriguez Echeverria R. O. ↑,
87', Baez W. ↓, Falcon J. ↑,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 9 and 11)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guaraní won 4.

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Guaraní is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Guaraní won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:9. (average 2.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Guaraní won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 2:1.3).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Guarani	13	5	6	2	14:10	4	21
11	Recoleta	13	2	2	9	14:26	-12	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guaraní Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
02.09.26	Olimpia Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion	1:1 ✺
30.08.26	Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Ameliano	1:1 ✺
25.08.26	2 de Mayo - Guaraní Asuncion	0:0 ✺
15.08.26	Guaraní Asuncion - Rubio Ñu	2:3 ✺
Copa Paraguay
12.08.26	Sportivo Iteño - Guaraní Asuncion	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TTTLL
- Deportivo Recoleta
Paraguayan Primera Division
03.09.26	Deportivo Recoleta - Cerro Porteño	1:3 ✺
29.08.26	Deportivo Recoleta - Olimpia Asuncion	1:2 ✺
Copa Paraguay
26.08.26	Deportivo Santaní - Deportivo Recoleta	0:2 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
22.08.26	Sportivo Ameliano - Deportivo Recoleta	3:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
18.08.26	Deportivo Recoleta - Boca Juniors	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
23.05.26	Deportivo Recoleta - Guaraní Asuncion	2:1
18.03.26	Guaraní Asuncion - Deportivo Recoleta	3:1
18.10.25	Guaraní Asuncion - Deportivo Recoleta	2:1
04.08.25	Deportivo Recoleta - Guaraní Asuncion	2:3
02.05.25	Deportivo Recoleta - Guaraní Asuncion	0:3
21.02.25	Guaraní Asuncion - Deportivo Recoleta	1:3
Copa Paraguay
14.10.23	Guaraní Asuncion - Deportivo Recoleta	2:0

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