Match Info

Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 10

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Ricardo Gregor (Asunción)

Referee: de Vivar M. D. (Par)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports
Paraguay	Tigo Sports
Usa	Fanatiz


	Deportivo Recoleta		Sportivo Trinidense

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.20	2.20	Watch
	2.75	3.20	2.25
	3.30	3.40	2.15	Watch
	3.15	3.54	2.29
	2.98	3.4	2.3	Watch
	2.95	3.50	2.25
	3.16	3.34	2.21	Watch
	2.85	3.15	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↓ (3.25)	3.34 ↑ (3.3)	2.23 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Recoleta
30.8%

Draw
27.7%

Sportivo Trinidense
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.3%

27.9%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

26.2%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Recoleta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Sportivo Trinidense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Recoleta than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Trinidense than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

Deportivo Recoleta - Sportivo Trinidense Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Sportivo Trinidense will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Ferreira N. (G) 15. Medina B. 4. Pereira M. 32. Monzon L. 25. Mosquera D. 17. Baez W. 7. Dominguez R. (C) 38. Franco A. 18. Rios P. 30. Charpentier P. 33. Gonzalez A.	12. Samudio V. (G) 2. Ruiz Diaz A. 40. Da Silveira A. 6. Canete A. 14. Mendoza S. 29. Rayer T. 21. Viera G. (C) 5. Gauto N. 31. Morinigo A. 11. Abreu L. 20. Gonzalez C.
Substitutes
3. Cardozo L. 6. Espinola J. 37. Falcon J. 36. Ferreira B. 8. Galeano F. 19. Lopez H. 5. Marotta N. 1. Marsengo A. (G) 28. Mendoza L. 9. Ortiz R. 10. Silva A. 24. Vidal T.	13. Barone F. 24. Baruja F. 7. Camacho N. 19. Cano Esteche A. B. 1. Dufour M. (G) 9. Gimenez O. 37. Gonzalez L. 16. Marcelino J. 4. Melgarejo D. 17. Roman J. 34. Roman Torales F. J. 3. Villalba D.
Coaches
Gonzalez J.	Arrua J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Dominguez R. 🟨,
25', Mosquera D. 🟨,
35', Morinigo A. 🟨,
40', Pereira M. 🟨,
45+3', Ruiz Diaz A. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Canete A. 🟨,
58', Mosquera D. 🟨,
60', 0 - 1, Morinigo A. ⚽,
65', Dominguez R. ↓, Silva A. ↑,
65', Baez W. ↓, Ferreira B. ↑,
65', Medina B. ↓, Cardozo L. ↑,
71', Mendoza S. ↓, Camacho N. ↑,
73', 0 - 2, Camacho N. ⚽, Rayer T. (A),
73', Gonzalez A. ↓, Ortiz R. ↑,
73', Rios P. ↓, Lopez H. ↑,
79', 1 - 2, Charpentier P. ⚽,
80', Gauto N. ↓, Marcelino J. ↑,
80', Abreu L. ↓, Cano Esteche A. B. ↑,
80', Gonzalez C. ↓, Baruja F. ↑,
83', Lopez H. 🟥,
84', 1 - 3, Ruiz Diaz A. ⚽,
84', Morinigo A. ↓, Melgarejo D. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 11 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Recoleta won 1.

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Sportivo Trinidense could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Recoleta won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1.7:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Recoleta won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1.3:2.3).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Sportivo Trinidense	13	7	2	4	23:13	10	23
11	Recoleta	13	2	2	9	14:26	-12	8

Last Results with these Odds

Sportivo Trinidense - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 43.81%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Recoleta
Paraguayan Primera Division
07.09.26	Guaraní Asuncion - Deportivo Recoleta	2:0 ✺
03.09.26	Deportivo Recoleta - Cerro Porteño	1:3 ✺
29.08.26	Deportivo Recoleta - Olimpia Asuncion	1:2 ✺
Copa Paraguay
26.08.26	Deportivo Santaní - Deportivo Recoleta	0:2 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
22.08.26	Sportivo Ameliano - Deportivo Recoleta	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLWL
- Sportivo Trinidense
Paraguayan Primera Division
06.09.26	Sportivo Trinidense - Olimpia Asuncion	1:2 ✺
02.09.26	Sportivo Ameliano - Sportivo Trinidense	0:3 ✺
29.08.26	Sportivo Trinidense - 2 de Mayo	0:1 ✺
Copa Paraguay
25.08.26	Sol de América - Sportivo Trinidense	2:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
21.08.26	Rubio Ñu - Sportivo Trinidense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
23.03.26	Sportivo Trinidense - Deportivo Recoleta	3:2
23.01.26	Deportivo Recoleta - Sportivo Trinidense	1:1
14.09.25	Sportivo Trinidense - Deportivo Recoleta	2:3
04.07.25	Deportivo Recoleta - Sportivo Trinidense	2:4
26.05.25	Deportivo Recoleta - Sportivo Trinidense	1:2
21.03.25	Sportivo Trinidense - Deportivo Recoleta	1:1

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