Match Info

PARAGUAY: PRIMERA DIVISION - CLAUSURA - ROUND 3

Date: 22 July 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Martín Torres (Asunción)

Referee: de Vivar M. D. (Par)


	Sportivo Trinidense		Resistencia

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.6	4.2
	1.73	3.5	3.9
	1.74	3.6	4.1
	1.81	3.8	4.53
	1.7	3.4	4.6
	1.75	3.72	4.25
	1.78	3.65	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.69)	3.61 ↓ (3.88)	4.24 ↓ (4.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportivo Trinidense
52.7%

Draw
25.6%

Resistencia
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.9%

24.3%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9%

23.9%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportivo Trinidense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Resistencia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Trinidense than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Resistencia than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Sportivo Trinidense - Resistencia Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Sportivo Trinidense will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Samudio V. (G) 24. De la Cruz L. 23. Benitez C. 15. Baez J. 14. Mendoza S. 28. Riveros M. (C) 13. Salcedo J. 35. Delvalle P. 17. Roman J. 9. Gimenez O. 10. Alvarez A.	23. Rhuan (G) 2. Villalva A. 16. Moreira J. 4. Brizuela O. 19. Benitez M. 6. Candia W. 7. Salinas R. 11. Lezcano H. 20. Martinez Candia C. A. 22. Ruiz Diaz R. 32. Colman J.
Substitutes
7. Arce P. 16. Arevalo R. 30. Ayala P. 3. Delvalle R. 1. Gonzalez Ojeda P. M. (G) 11. Mana N. 2. Ruiz Diaz A.	1. Arzamendia M. (G) 28. Benitez A. 35. Diaz E. 39. Gonzalez A. 10. Jorge Nunez 5. Quinonez A.
Coaches
Arrua J.	Recalde C.

Preview

Sportivo Trinidense is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Resistencia is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sportivo Trinidense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Sportivo Trinidense is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sportivo Trinidense won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Sportivo Trinidense won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportivo Trinidense
Paraguayan Primera Division
16.07.23	General Caballero JLM - Sportivo Trinidense	2:0 ✺
08.07.23	Sportivo Trinidense - Sportivo Ameliano	3:2 ✺
10.06.23	Sportivo Trinidense - Nacional Asuncion	2:1 ✺
02.06.23	Sportivo Luqueño - Sportivo Trinidense	2:2 ✺
27.05.23	Sportivo Trinidense - Resistencia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWWTW
- Resistencia SC
Paraguayan Primera Division
15.07.23	Resistencia - Olimpia Asuncion	3:2 ✺
07.07.23	Resistencia - General Caballero JLM	1:1 ✺
11.06.23	Olimpia Asuncion - Resistencia	4:1 ✺
04.06.23	Resistencia - Guaireña	0:2 ✺
27.05.23	Sportivo Trinidense - Resistencia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
27.05.23	Sportivo Trinidense - Resistencia	2:0
26.03.23	Resistencia - Sportivo Trinidense	1:0
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
24.09.21	Sportivo Trinidense - Resistencia	1:0
18.06.21	Resistencia - Sportivo Trinidense	2:1
12.10.19	Sportivo Trinidense - Resistencia	0:2

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