Match Info

PARAGUAY: PRIMERA DIVISION - CLAUSURA - ROUND 13

Date: 2 October 2023, Monday

Location: Estadio Manuel Ferreira (Asunción)

Referee: Lopez D. (Par)


	Olimpia Asuncion		Resistencia

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.75	7.5
	1.37	4.5	6.25
	1.38	4.75	7	Watch
	1.42	4.93	7.62
	1.36	4.5	7
	1.39	4.55	7
	1.41	4.6	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↑ (1.35)	4.65 ↓ (4.85)	7 ↓ (7.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olimpia Asuncion
66.9%

Draw
19.9%

Resistencia
13.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.8%

19.1%

12.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.1%

18.7%

12%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olimpia Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Resistencia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpia Asuncion than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Resistencia than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	11.1%	0%

Olimpia Asuncion - Resistencia Predictions

Users Predictions: Olimpia Asuncion will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Espinola J. (G) 29. Salazar V. 5. Salcedo S. (C) 15. Gamarra M. 36. Zabala F. 14. Cardozo F. 26. Barreto Viera O. J. 17. Gomez M. 11. Torres I. 38. Paez A. 24. Montenegro B.	23. Rhuan (G) 16. Moreira J. (C) 2. Villalva A. 26. Adorno P. 19. Benitez M. 32. Colman J. 6. Candia W. 20. Martinez Candia C. A. 7. Salinas R. 24. Diaz E. 22. Ruiz Diaz R.
Substitutes
9. Bruera F. 7. Fernandez H. 13. Frutos R. (G) 10. Gonzalez D. 20. Otalvaro S. 18. Quintana S. 28. Romero J.	8. Araujo J. 9. Da Silva N. 18. Enciso R. 12. Gimenez R. (G) 17. Maciel M. 5. Quinonez A. 3. Ruan
Coaches
Arce F.	Recalde C.

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 6 and 5).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Olimpia won 3.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Resistencia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Olimpia is absolute favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Olimpia won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 25-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Olimpia won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olimpia Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
27.09.23	Libertad Asuncion - Olimpia Asuncion	4:0 ✺
23.09.23	Tacuary - Olimpia Asuncion	0:0 ✺
20.09.23	Olimpia Asuncion - Sportivo Ameliano	4:0 ✺
16.09.23	Olimpia Asuncion - General Caballero JLM	3:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
31.08.23	Olimpia Asuncion - Fluminense	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LTWWL
- Resistencia SC
Paraguayan Primera Division
22.09.23	General Caballero JLM - Resistencia	2:0 ✺
17.09.23	Sportivo Ameliano - Resistencia	1:2 ✺
11.09.23	Resistencia - Guaireña	1:0 ✺
03.09.23	Guaraní Asuncion - Resistencia	3:2 ✺
28.08.23	Resistencia - Nacional Asuncion	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
15.07.23	Resistencia - Olimpia Asuncion	3:2
11.06.23	Olimpia Asuncion - Resistencia	4:1
09.04.23	Resistencia - Olimpia Asuncion	0:3
27.10.22	Resistencia - Olimpia Asuncion	1:6
27.08.22	Olimpia Asuncion - Resistencia	1:1
19.06.22	Olimpia Asuncion - Resistencia	6:1
01.04.22	Resistencia - Olimpia Asuncion	2:1

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