Match Info

Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 11

Date: 19 March 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Martín Torres (Asunción)

Referee: de Vivar M. D. (Par)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports
Paraguay	Tigo Sports
Usa	Fanatiz


	Sportivo Trinidense		Sportivo Ameliano

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.9	2.6	Watch
	2.55	2.95	2.55
	2.62	2.92	2.72	Watch
	2.84	2.84	2.96
	2.68	2.96	2.83	Watch
	2.7	2.75	2.8
	2.76	2.77	2.89	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↓ (2.7)	2.87 ↓ (2.97)	2.76 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportivo Trinidense
34.5%

Draw
32.1%

Sportivo Ameliano
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

31.4%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

29.9%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportivo Trinidense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Sportivo Ameliano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Trinidense than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Ameliano than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Sportivo Trinidense - Sportivo Ameliano Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Sportivo Trinidense (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sportivo Trinidense (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dufour M. (G) 6. Canete A. 23. Benitez C. 30. Valdez B. 14. Mendoza S. 29. Rayer T. 21. Viera G. 8. De la Cruz L. (C) 11. Baez Mendoza R. 7. Camacho N. 20. Gonzalez C.	23. Martinez M. (G) 21. Franco F. 26. Gonzalez J. (C) 22. Falabella A. 19. Paredes A. 24. Ayala L. 6. Benitez J. 20. Larralde V. 30. Cabral R. 10. Vera E. 38. Portillo F.
Substitutes
40. Da Silveira A. 5. Gauto N. 9. Gimenez O. 37. Gonzalez L. 10. Mana N. 4. Melgarejo D. 31. Morinigo A. 34. Roman Torales F. J. 18. Romero F. 2. Ruiz Diaz A. 12. Samudio V. (G) 22. Zarza P.	18. Avalos A. 3. Baez F. 5. Benitez H. 25. Bruno L. 40. Contrera A. 36. Leon M. 37. Lezcano Olmedo T. E. 8. Moreira E. 9. Ocampos C. 35. Sanchez A. (G) 32. Servian A. 7. Vera F.
Coaches
Arrua J.	Nanni R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, Vera E. ⚽, Cabral R. (A),
31', Valdez B. 🟨,
43', Mendoza S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Portillo F. ↓, Vera F. ↑,
46', Baez Mendoza R. ↓, Zarza P. ↑,
55', De la Cruz L. ↓, Gonzalez L. ↑,
56', Rayer T. ↓, Mana N. ↑,
60', 1 - 1, Camacho N. (Penalty Awarded),
61', Gonzalez C. ↓, Gimenez O. ↑,
65', Canete A. ↓, Ruiz Diaz A. ↑,
71', Larralde V. ↓, Moreira E. ↑,
80', Cabral R. ↓, Contrera A. ↑,
80', Benitez J. ↓, Leon M. ↑,
82', Ayala L. ↓, Bruno L. ↑,
83', Leon M. 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Trinidense won 2.

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Trinidense won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:8. (average 1.5:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Sportivo Trinidense won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 1.7:0.8).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Sportivo Trinidense	13	7	2	4	23:13	10	23
7	Ameliano	13	4	6	3	15:15	0	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportivo Trinidense
Paraguayan Primera Division
14.03.26	Cerro Porteño - Sportivo Trinidense	2:1 ✺
09.03.26	Sportivo Trinidense - Nacional Asuncion	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
04.03.26	Sportivo Trinidense - Olimpia Asuncion	0:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
28.02.26	2 de Mayo - Sportivo Trinidense	1:0 ✺
25.02.26	Sportivo Trinidense - Sportivo Luqueño	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LTLLT
- Sportivo Ameliano
Paraguayan Primera Division
15.03.26	Sportivo Ameliano - Guaraní Asuncion	0:0 ✺
09.03.26	Deportivo Recoleta - Sportivo Ameliano	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Sportivo Ameliano - Olimpia Asuncion	0:1 ✺
25.02.26	Sportivo Ameliano - Cerro Porteño	0:1 ✺
19.02.26	Nacional Asuncion - Sportivo Ameliano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
26.11.25	Sportivo Ameliano - Sportivo Trinidense	0:0
08.09.25	Sportivo Trinidense - Sportivo Ameliano	1:0
04.04.25	Sportivo Ameliano - Sportivo Trinidense	0:1
24.01.25	Sportivo Trinidense - Sportivo Ameliano	1:2
18.10.24	Sportivo Ameliano - Sportivo Trinidense	1:0
10.08.24	Sportivo Trinidense - Sportivo Ameliano	3:0
17.05.24	Sportivo Ameliano - Sportivo Trinidense	0:2

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