Match Info

Date: 28 June 2021, Monday


	Sputnik Rechitsa		Vitebsk

	1	X	2
				Watch
	6.75	4	1.4
	8.5	4.5	1.32	Watch
	6.8	4.3	1.41
	7.91	4.57	1.42
	8	4.2	1.36	Watch
	7.6	4.45	1.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.59 ↓ (7.94)	4.34 ↑ (4.33)	1.38 ↑ (1.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sputnik Rechitsa
12.1%

Draw
21.2%

Vitebsk
66.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.5%

21.1%

67.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10%

18.4%

77.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sputnik Rechitsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Vitebsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sputnik Rechitsa than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitebsk than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vitebsk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	8%	72%

Sputnik Rechitsa - Vitebsk Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Sputnik will win (votes: 5 - 20%). Vitebsk will win (votes: 18 - 72%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vitebsk: 54.4% – 89.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Pershaya Liga and 8).

Sputnik has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Vitebsk is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sputnik could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Vitebsk is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sputnik Rechitsa
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
19.06.21	Torpedo-BelAZ - Sputnik Rechitsa	2:0 ✺
12.06.21	Sputnik Rechitsa - Dinamo Minsk	0:5 ✺
29.05.21	Neman Grodno - Sputnik Rechitsa	2:2 ✺
19.05.21	BATE Borisov - Sputnik Rechitsa	2:1 ✺
14.05.21	Sputnik Rechitsa - Slavia Mozyr	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30.3 LLTLL
- FC Vitebsk
Belarusian Cup
23.06.21	Smolevichi - Vitebsk	1:3 ✺
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
19.06.21	Vitebsk - Rukh Brest	0:0 ✺
12.06.21	Shakhtyor Soligorsk - Vitebsk	2:0 ✺
28.05.21	Vitebsk - Smorgon	5:0 ✺
19.05.21	Isloch Minsk - Vitebsk	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WTLWW

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