Match Info

ENGLAND: National League South - Round 14

Date: 26 October 2024, Saturday


	St Albans City		Bath City

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.25	2.65
	2.4	3.3	2.8
	2.44	3.25	2.83
	2.46	3.26	2.85	Watch
	2.39	3.25	2.75
	2.4	3.3	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↓ (2.74)	3.27 ↓ (3.3)	2.78 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St Albans City
38.5%

Draw
28.3%

Bath City
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

27.8%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

26.5%

40.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St Albans City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Bath City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bath City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St Albans City than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with St Albans City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bath City than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bath City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

St Albans City - Bath City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, Russe L. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
60', 1 - 1, Jeffers S. ⚽,
64', 2 - 1, (Own goal),
71', 3 - 1, (Own goal),
74', 3 - 2, Wanjau-Smith S. ⚽,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation and 18).

Last 5 head-to-head matches St Albans won 3.

St Albans is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Bath is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Bath have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 18 head-to-head matches St Albans won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 23:24 (average 1.3:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams St Albans won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10:12 (average 1.1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St Albans City
English National League South
22.10.24	Slough Town - St Albans City	2:2 ✺
19.10.24	St Albans City - Welling United	0:1 ✺
12.10.24	Hampton & Richmond Borough - St Albans City	0:1 ✺
05.10.24	St Albans City - Salisbury	3:4 ✺
English FA Cup
28.09.24	Gorleston - St Albans City	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 TLWLL
- Bath City
English National League South
22.10.24	Bath City - Weymouth	1:1 ✺
19.10.24	Hornchurch - Bath City	0:0 ✺
English FA Cup
12.10.24	Aldershot Town - Bath City	2:1 ✺
English National League South
05.10.24	Chesham United - Bath City	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
28.09.24	Salisbury - Bath City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 TTLWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
17.02.24	Bath City - St Albans City	3:1
28.08.23	St Albans City - Bath City	0:2
18.03.23	Bath City - St Albans City	1:3
26.11.22	St Albans City - Bath City	3:0
26.02.22	St Albans City - Bath City	3:2
23.10.21	Bath City - St Albans City	0:2
08.02.20	Bath City - St Albans City	0:3

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