Match Info

National League South - Round 8

Date: 6 September 2025, Saturday

Location: The Meadow (Chesham)


	Chesham United		Bath City

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.2	3.1
	2.08	3.1	3.45
	2.04	3.18	3.8
	2.20	3.01	3.46	Watch
	2.05	3.49	3.38
	2.15	3.35	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.23)	3.22 ↓ (3.32)	3.37 ↑ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chesham United
44%

Draw
28.6%

Bath City
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

27.7%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

26.9%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chesham United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Bath City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chesham United than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bath City than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Chesham United - Bath City Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Chesham (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 14 and 18).

Recent form of Chesham has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Bath's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Chesham could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Chesham won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Chesham won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chesham United
English National League South
02.09.25	Totton - Chesham United	1:1 ✺
30.08.25	Chelmsford City - Chesham United	2:1 ✺
25.08.25	Chesham United - Hampton & Richmond Borough	1:2 ✺
23.08.25	Tonbridge Angels - Chesham United	0:0 ✺
19.08.25	Chesham United - Horsham	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TLLTT
- Bath City
English National League South
02.09.25	Bath City - Maidenhead United	0:4 ✺
30.08.25	Bath City - Dorking Wanderers	1:2 ✺
25.08.25	Ebbsfleet United - Bath City	1:1 ✺
23.08.25	Bath City - Eastbourne Borough	2:0 ✺
19.08.25	Salisbury - Bath City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
25.01.25	Bath City - Chesham United	1:1
05.10.24	Chesham United - Bath City	0:1

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