Match Info

ENGLAND: FA Cup - Qualification - Final

Date: 12 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Recreation Ground (Aldershot)


	Aldershot Town		Bath City

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.9	4.5
	1.55	3.9	4.6
	1.62	4	4.75
	1.61	4.09	4.67
	1.64	4.03	4.87	Watch
	1.53	4	5
	1.59	4.05	4.84	Watch
	1.62	4	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.58)	4 ↑ (3.9)	4.75 ↑ (4.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aldershot Town
57.7%

Draw
23%

Bath City
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

23.1%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

24.7%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aldershot Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Bath City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aldershot Town than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bath City than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Aldershot Town - Bath City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Akpan A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', Maghoma C. 🟥,
76', 1 - 1, Fisher A. ⚽,
90+8', 2 - 1, Mullins M. ⚽,

Preview

Replayed if draw.

Aldershot is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Bath is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Aldershot is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aldershot Town
English National League
05.10.24	Fylde - Aldershot Town	5:2 ✺
28.09.24	Yeovil Town - Aldershot Town	1:1 ✺
24.09.24	Aldershot Town - Barnet	0:1 ✺
21.09.24	Aldershot Town - York City	0:0 ✺
14.09.24	Boston United - Aldershot Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LTLTT
- Bath City
English National League South
05.10.24	Chesham United - Bath City	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
28.09.24	Salisbury - Bath City	1:2 ✺
English National League South
21.09.24	Bath City - Enfield Town	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
14.09.24	Bath City - Merthyr Town	2:1 ✺
English National League South
07.09.24	Chelmsford City - Bath City	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWLWL

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